tyb
Putin the pedal to the metal:
Vlad screeches round corners in limo as Kim Jong-un hangs on - after gifting Russian-made car to North Korean tyrant during his state visit
The Kremlin chief presented Kim with the boxy vehicle, manufactured by Russia's Aurus automaker, along with a tea set and an admiral's sword in a symbolic gesture of thanks for North Korea's 'consistent and unwavering' support for his war in Ukraine.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13546589/Vlad-screeches-corners-Russian-limo-Kim-Jong-holding-passenger-seat-gifting-car-North-Korean-tyrant-state-visit.html
>Putin the pedal to the metal:
1) 0:50 Putin screeches round corner and veers across road while taking a panic-stricken Kim Jong-un for a spin in Russian-made limo he gifted North Korean tyrant
2) Sure you know how to drive this thing? Kim Jong-un casts a nervous eye at Putin as the Russian leader prepares to take him for a spin
3) Footage taken in the leafy grounds of the Kumsusan state residence in the North Korean capital showed the moment Putin clambered behind the wheel of the cumbersome vehicle to offer his services as a chauffeur to Kim
4) The short trip saw the pair share a rare moment away from their hordes of close protection bodyguards and security teams before returning inside to conclude talks
5) Putin lurched around corners and appeared to weave across the road during the short trip that saw the pair share a rare moment away from their hordes of close protection bodyguards
Cotton: Democrats āNeed to Be Prepared for Defeatā
Posted ā¢ June 18, 2024: Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., tells 'The Ingraham Angle' what the country would look like under a second Trump presidential term.
5:01
https://rumble.com/embed/v5034hw/?pub=8e2u1
https://rumble.com/v52fdct-sen.-tom-cotton-democrats-need-to-be-prepared-for-defeat-in-november.html
Cotton: Democrats āNeed to Be Prepared for Defeatā
On Tuesday on FNCās āThe Ingraham Angle,ā Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) said his Democratic Party counterparts needed to prepare for defeat as the November election approaches.
>5:01
The Arkansas Republican cited immigration, noting that some liberal activists are preparing for another Trump presidency.
āSenator, none of this is really surprising,ā Fox News host Laura Ingraham said. āConservative groups ā they try to stop, you know, what the Democrat presidents do as well with the variety of things. But I think more interesting is what advice would you give to the Trump team knowing the resistance is out there for his first 100 days?
āYes, Laura, itās not surprising at all,ā Cotton replied. āIād say the only thing I agree with all of these people on is that they need to be prepared for defeat, this November. You saw another example today of Joe Biden putting the interest of illegal aliens ahead of Americans by giving a mass amnesty program without legal authority. We knew that these left-wing activists and governors would swing into action once President Trump wins, try to handcuff his actions.ā
āLook at the issues on which they care most about, though the one thing that that article talks most about is immigration,ā he continued. āAnd of course, who are they going to go to bat for, foreign, illegal aliens who are in our country, the kind of people who just brutally murdered and raped Rachel Morin or raped at knifepoint a 13-year-old girl in New York. Thatās the kind of people that these organizations want to go to bat for.ā
Cotton added, āSo, I think President Trump recognizes that. Heās ready for it. Heās got a great team around him. Theyāre going to hit the ground running in 2025, and theyāre going to make sure the actions they take are legally airtight, and theyāre litigated promptly to a resolution that supports the American people, doesnāt support the interests of foreigners.ā
https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2024/06/19/cotton-democrats-need-to-be-prepared-for-defeat/
Labour Maintains Dominant 21 Point Lead | Survation
The latest Good Morning Britain tracker indicates that the Conservative Party is poised to receive its lowest share of the vote at a general electionā¦
The Conservatives have been unable to repair their fractured 2019 vote. The party is currently retaining just 53% of its 2019 voters while losing them to both the left and right. Labour is peeling away 14% of Conservative voters, but Reform UK is the most attractive destination for those who backed the Conservatives in 2019, with one in four intending to back Farageās party.
The sankey diagram below, made using data drawn from our polling for Best for Britain, shows just one in three Leave voters currently intend to vote for the Conservatives, with 28% supporting Labour and 27% Reform UK. This is a stark contrast to 2019, when approximately three-quarters of Leave voters backed the Conservatives.
Farageās decision to lead Reform UK into the general election has exacerbated the Conservativesā troubles. This week he leads the Prime Minister on favourability both nationally (+15 points) and among 2019 Conservative voters (+6 points). Sunakās favourability among these voters stands at just +2, whereas Keir Starmer enjoys a +40 rating among 2019 Labour voters. Leave voters, who were pivotal to the Conservative victory in 2019, also favour Farage (+12) to Sunak (-25).
Sunak has attempted to frame the election as a presidential-style choice between himself and Starmer. To the extent this has had any effect on voters, it has not been in the way the Conservatives intended. Starmer now leads Sunak by 17 points on the question of who would make the best Prime Minister ā the largest gap we have ever recorded between the two.
The news for the Conservatives is no better on the economy, as both Starmer and Reeves continue to lead their counterparts on economic trust.
Despite Conservative claims that Labourās policies will add Ā£2,000 to individual tax bills, the public perceives Starmer as more honest when it comes to tax pledges.
Labourās manifesto is what you might expect from a party that is 20 points ahead in the polls, and the Conservatives manifesto is what you might expect from a party that is 20 points behind. Nonetheless, we find Labourās manifesto is seen as more credible than other parties.
The Conservatives are in deep trouble. Far from the polls narrowing, the fundamentals actually look worse than they did at the beginning of the campaign. Labour lead the Conservatives on the NHS (+32), cost of living (+25), immigration (+12), and the economy (+10); Starmer leads Sunak on best PM (+17), economic trust (+6), and honesty on tax pledges (+10); while Reform UK are eating into the Conservative vote share from the right. With just over two weeks until polling day, there is little indication that things will improve.
https://www.survation.com/labour-maintains-dominant-21-point-lead/
Survation. @Survation
NEW Survation Telephone Tracker for @GMB- Poll 2/4:
CON 20% (-3)
LAB 41% (-)
LD 12% (+2)
REF 15% (+3)
GRE 6% (-)
SNP 2% (-1)
OTH 5% (+1)
F/w 14th - 18th June. Changes vs. 12th June 2024.
@JackSurvation explore the findings below.
>Labour Maintains Dominant 21 Point Lead | Survation
>The latest Good Morning Britain tracker indicates that the Conservative Party is poised to receive its lowest share of the vote at a general electionā¦
3:52 AM Ā· Jun 19, 2024Ā·172.4K Views
https://x.com/Survation/status/1803335103982027126
Nigel Farage
Thank you, Clacton!
0:14
From Harry Horton
4:00 PM Ā· Jun 18, 2024Ā·302.7K Views
https://x.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1803155744084426839
Farage Tells Packed Rally The Peopleās Army is Changing the Course of British History Again
Brexit leader Nigel Farage said it was time to fuse the traditional with the radical as he appealed to respect Britainās history and culture while saving the nation with major reform at a packed rally in Clacton on Tuesday night.
Addressing a hall of supporters after mounting the stage to what has become his campaign anthem, Eminemās Without Me ā making good use of its lyrics āguess whoās back, back againā in a plain nod to his return from political retirement ā Nigel Farage announced a mass defection of local Conservative politicians to his Reform Party on Tuesday. While the comings and goings of local councillors may not normally make national news, several Reform candidates and spokesmen have told Breitbart News in recent days that converting the present energy around the party into a permanent grass-roots campaigning organisation ready to fight in 2029 is very much core to the plan.
The party has made clear it hopes to attract many more defecting Conservative and Labour local politicians once the dust has settled on next monthās national elections, and then to take more in the Spring 2025 local elections.
In the precise populist rhetoric of Nigel Farage ā who makes a point of spurning the political jargon of the legacy establishment ā this grassroots machine heās trying to build is his āpeopleās armyā. Speaking at a packed theatre that he likened to a Billy Graham revival meeting, Mr Farage cited the old campaigners of the former UKIP party as part of the reason he made the surprise decision to change course and stand again.
>Nigel Farage
>Thank you, Clacton!
Appealing to his successful campaign to take Britain out of the European Union in the years running to 2016, never mind his bringing down two British Prime Ministers, Farage said: āI was the head of a movement with millions and millions of supporters and with that support we changed the course of British history, and I felt I just cannot let these people down. I cannot let my people downā.
Farage said more was yet to come: āIām going to do it, and with your help we will once again change the future of British history.ā
His return from retirement is not a āshort term commando raid by meā but a āmajor commitmentā, Farage said, telling his supporters: āwhat we must do is establish that bridgehead in parliament. We are going to do it, be in no doubt. And then spend the next five years getting ready to fight the 2029 General Election as a party that believes it can win that general election and put our country back on track. Thatās the aimā. ā¦
https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2024/06/19/farage-says-peoples-army-changing-the-course-of-british/
Poll Predicts Historic Victory Sending Nigel Farage to UK Parliament in July Election
A poll claiming Nigel Farage is on track to win the Clacton Parliamentary seat by a comfortable margin would be by a degree āunprecedented in modern electoral historyā.
Brexit leader Nigel Farage is standing for election to the United Kingdom House of Commons for the eighth time, and polling suggests he may be on the verge of being sworn in to Westminster. Beyond a nationwide swing to Reform UK, the party he founded and now leads again, speat-specific polling by mainstream British pollster Survation by Farage ally Aaron Banks says he is likely to win big in Essex in 15 days time.
Survation performed their research in Clacton last week and said by their reckoning Farageās Reform could overturn a huge 72 per cent Conservative vote from 2019 and get a clear win with 42 per cent. The Conservatives would come second with 27 per cent and Labour third with 24 per cent. The Times notes this latest poll buttresses earlier findings by Ipsos, another British pollster, which said it expected Reform to win by an outright majority at 53 per cent, followed by Labour on 24 and the Tories on 17 per cent.
>NEW Survation Telephone Tracker for @GMB- Poll 2/4:
The newspaper cites Damian Lyons Lowe, the founder of Survation, who said of the enormous swing he foresaw, saying: āIn examining the history of UK elections, we find that swings as large as the one currently projected in Clacton are extremely rare. The projected swing in Clacton from the Conservative Party to the Reform UK party is 43.5 per cent. This is considerably larger than many significant historical swings.
āThe swing currently projected in Clacton, from a 72 per cent Conservative vote share in 2019 to a 42 per cent vote share for Nigel Farageās Reform UK in 2024, would indeed be unprecedented in modern UK electoral history. This kind of dramatic shift highlights a significant realignment of voter preferences and could signal broader changes in the political landscape.ā
While Farage will no doubt wish to toast the findings, it is evident pollsters are having a tough time prognosticating support for new political force Reform, which spiritual successors the Brexit Party and UKIP aside has never fought a nationwide election before and defies the old conventions of the two-party system. Recent nationwide polling has on one end of the spectrum found Reform beating the Conservative for votes nationwide ā a historic achievement if they prove to be founded ā to coming a distant third.
A Savanta poll published by The Daily Telegraph today predicts a Conservative Party bloodbath with even the Prime Minister Rishi Sunak could face losing his seat next month, the first time this would have happened in British history.
>Farage Tells Packed Rally The Peopleās Army is Changing the Course of British History Again
https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2024/06/19/poll-predicts-historic-victory-sending-nigel-farage-to-uk-parliament-in-july-election/
New 'compelling evidence' found at Roswell UFO site could prove alien craft crashed in 1947, experts say
America's most famous UFO case is still producing more evidence as scientists and civilians are on a mission to prove that the Roswell crash was not of this world.
The 1947 incident made headlines when the US Army Air Force issued a press release stating that it had recovered debris from a 'flying disc' ā only later to reverse course, claiming that the material had really just belonged to a downed weather balloon.
Geologist Frank Kimbler is among the many experts who have challenged the military's official version of what crashed on the outskirts of this New Mexico town, where he has scoured the alleged UFO's crash site with a metal detector since 2010.
Kimbler has since uncovered over 20 unusual scraps of metal material, most no bigger than a fingernail, and has now submitted one uniquely odd metal for testing to the Discovery Channel's new series 'Alien Encounters: Fact or Fiction.'
Testing revealed that the metal was '100-percent pure aluminum,' which experts said was 'compelling evidence' that could prove aliens crashed in the area decades ago. ā¦
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-13544475/New-evidence-Roswell-UFO-spacecraft-crash-1947-Discovery-Alien-Encounters.html
1) Today, even the lead author of the Air Force's official and final Roswell report in 1994, Colonel Weaver, has come forward to caution that the current official explanation is inconclusive: 'Did we say it was 100-percent? No way. We didn't say that' (above, the military's first explanation)
2) UFO researcher Tony Bragalia has argued that debris from the Roswell crash was flown to Wright Field in Greene County, Ohio, with Battelle Memorial Institute soon securing a contract to start remaking the UFO's 'memory metal' Nitinol, using Nickel and ultra-high purity Titanium
3) Geologist Frank Kimbler uncovered over 20 unusual scraps of metal material, most no bigger than a fingernail, and has now submitted one uniquely odd metal for testing to the Discovery Channel's new series ' Alien Encounters: Fact or Fiction
4) 'Most Al [aluminum] in use are anodized Al,' Dr Hossain noted, a process that creates a thin layer of aluminum, reacted with oxygen, to seal off the interior aluminum from rust-like degradation caused by reactions with the air. This sample, he said, had 'not been anodized'
continued
ā¦āThe views of preceding generations can persuade, and, in the realm of stare decisis, even bind,ā Barrett wrote, using the Latin term for the principle that courts should adhere to past rulings. āBut tradition is not an end in itself ā and I fear that the Court uses it that way here.ā
Barrett, a Trump appointee, added what could be interpreted as a jab at the very premise of originalism, which has been a hallmark of the conservative legal movement for decades.
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āIt presents tradition itself as the constitutional argument. ā¦ Yet what is the theoretical justification for using tradition that way?ā she wrote.
Barrettās next critique amounts to fighting words among legal conservatives: She compared Thomasā approach to the kind of amorphous, multi-pronged legal tests that conservatives frequently accuse liberal judges of concocting.
āRelying exclusively on history and tradition may seem like a way of avoiding judge-made tests. But a rule rendering tradition dispositive is itself a judge-made test,ā she asserted.
Barrettās change of heart
The disagreement over history is notable because, just two years ago, Barrett appeared to be fully on board with the originalist approach that Thomas has long championed.
In 2022, the court used deep dives into the historical record to justify rulings that reverberated across the nation: the Dobbs decision overturning the federal constitutional right to abortion and the Bruen ruling invalidating some permitting laws for gun owners.
In Dobbs, five conservative justices (minus Roberts) relied on the lack of āhistorical supportā for abortion rights. And in Bruen, in a landmark opinion written by Thomas, the court said gun control measures can be upheld only if analogous restrictions existed in early American history.
Barrett joined both those opinions in their entirety, but now sheās sending an unmistakable signal that there are limits to the utility of history in resolving todayās hard constitutional questions.
Sheās hardly alone in voicing skepticism. The courtās use of history in Dobbs and Bruen set off a furious debate among legal scholars, historians and judicial gatherings about whether the justices got the history right ā and about the overall wisdom of the effort. Even Saturday Night Live weighed in on the shortcomings of turning to the 17th and 18th centuries to resolve 21st century disputes over issues like abortion.
In her concurrence in the trademark case, Barrett joined in some of those critiques, accusing her fellow conservatives of taking too narrow a view of what sort of past regulation qualifies as relevant enough to justify a government practice in the present.
āIn my view, the Courtās laser-like focus on the history of this single restriction misses the forest for the trees,ā she added. āI see no reason to proceed based on pedigree rather than principle.ā
A less demanding, more flexible historical test could lead the justices to uphold the gun restriction aimed at domestic abusers even in the absence of clear analogs from the founding era. But such flexibility would likely require Barrett and at least one other conservative to pivot away from the strict approach of Bruen. When the justices heard oral arguments last fall, some of the conservative justices seemed to be searching for a way to do just that.
Last weekās trademark case wasnāt the first time Barrett has unfurled the yellow caution flag as the court turned to history to resolve a case. Almost a year ago, in a case involving the admissibility of confessions by co-conspirators, Barrett again accused Thomas of making too much of a very limited historical record.
āThe Court overclaims. That is unfortunate,ā Barrett wrote in a solo concurrence, referring to Thomasā majority opinion. āWhile history is often important and sometimes dispositive, we should be discriminating in its use. Otherwise, we risk undermining the force of historical arguments when they matter most,ā she declared.
And in a speech last year at Catholic University, Barrett reiterated the point. āWe have to be very, very careful in the way that we use history,ā she said, adding that deploying historical evidence to advance a legal conclusion can be like ālooking over a crowd and picking out your friends.ā ā¦
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āāāWhat does this mean for Trump?āāā
The impact of the Barrett-Thomas quarrel on Trumpās presidential immunity claim ā arguably the biggest case of the courtās current term ā is harder to predict. But with no explicit discussion of that immunity in the Constitution, both sides in the case have turned to history to advance their arguments.
Trumpās attorneys have noted that no sitting or former president had ever faced criminal charges before Trump.
Meanwhile, special counsel Jack Smith, who has charged Trump with conspiring to deprive Americans of their right to vote in the 2020 election, notes that the foundersā skepticism toward executive power drew from British kings running rampant over their subjectsā rights.
āIt does seem to me that Justice Barrett is trying to lay down a marker of at least some limitation or clarity in terms of where she and the others on the court see āhistory and traditionā moving in the future,ā said Catholic University law professor Jennifer Mascott, who clerked for Thomas at the Supreme Court and Kavanaugh when he was an appeals court judge. āJustice Barrett is basically raising questions that could really shift and perhaps limit the impact of the way specific [historical] examples are used.ā
Barrettās step away from hard-core originalism comes in the wake of Trump giving a less-than-stellar review to his three Supreme Court nominees: Gorsuch, Kavanaugh and Barrett. It has contributed to grumbling from some conservatives that she isnāt proving to be as doctrinaire across the board as theyād have liked.
āYou see justices after three or more years on the court coming into their own,ā said Adam Feldman, founder of Empirical SCOTUS, a blog that publishes statistical analysis of the Supreme Court. āSheās developing a jurisprudence at this point that isnāt extremely parallel to any other justiceās. Iāve heard from a fair number of conservatives right now who are not thrilled with any of the Trump picks, that theyāre not Alito or Thomas, and Barrett has been kind of soft on some of these issues.ā
āāāWhere do Roberts and Kavanaugh stand?āāā
Whether Barrett can succeed in pumping the brakes on the courtās use of history likely will depend on two other conservative justices: Roberts and Kavanaugh, both of whom, like Barrett, have occasionally been willing to break with the courtās right flank.
So far, those two justices have not publicly revealed where they stand in the current dispute. Notably, in the trademark case, they did not sign onto Barrettās concurrence ā but they also did not sign the portion of Thomasā opinion that most directly responded to Barrettās critiques.
Instead, they issued a terse, one-paragraph opinion that said Barrett āmight wellā be right, but the question she raised could be left for another case and another day.
Isgur, the former DOJ spokesperson turned Supreme Court analyst, said she reads the opinions to suggest that Roberts and Kavanaugh are closer to Barrettās view on the utility of history than they are to the strict originalism of Thomas and Alito.
āThe Kavanaugh/Roberts opinion is really just a shorter version of what she wrote,ā said Isgur, who recently co-authored a POLITICO magazine article arguing that Roberts, Kavanaugh and Barrett have emerged at the center of a court that is better viewed as split 3-3-3, rather than 6-3.
Though Roberts and Kavanaugh did not join Barrettās concurrence, the courtās three liberal justices ā Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan and Ketanji Brown Jackson ā each signed on to all or parts of it. (Kagan, the courtās leading dealmaker on the left, endorsed Barrettās opinion in its entirety.)
It also appears to be the first opinion ever issued by the court in which four female justices all joined an opinion without any male justice also signing on. (The court never had as many as four women justices until Jackson, a nominee of President Joe Biden, was confirmed in 2022.)
That gender divide may be another clue that Barrettās opinion presages her joining with the courtās liberals in the pending case about denying guns to domestic abusers.
āRahimi is, in part, about gender,ā Tyler said. āItās about domestic violence.ā
Juneteenth - Press Briefing On Tropical Storm Alberto
National Hurricane Center (NWC) Director Michael Brennan holds a press briefing on Tropical Storm Alberto.
5:40
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acXah_DuA-s