Tom Bevan
@TomBevanRCP
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2m
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@JoeNBC
: Every public poll that's come out has this race tied, Mike.
Time for a reality 🧵
15 national post-debate polls have Biden down an avg of 2.7%. The vast majority don't include any data on the assassination attempt or the RNC.
https://x.com/Morning_Joe/status/1813529984859779501
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Morning Joe
@Morning_Joe
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3h
.@JoeNBC: "The Democrats have to either fish or cut bait. If they can't drive Joe Biden from the race, they need to line up behind Joe Biden because there's no middle ground here… You're either united or your side loses. They've got to make decisions fast."
@TomBevanRCP
More importantly, Biden's position in the Top 7 battleground states has deteriorated by a full point post-debate. He's now down by an average of 4.2%….
https://realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
And the Blue Wall is cracking: he's down 1.3% in Michigan, 3.0% in Wisconsin, and 4.5% in Pennsylvania. Again, the vast majority of the data does not incorporate the assassination attempt or the RNC…..
So it's reasonable to assume the numbers will get worse for Biden in the short term, leaving him with an awful lot of ground to make up in the final 100 days of the campaign.
https://twitter.com/TomBevanRCP/status/1813577290544198138