dChan - Q Origins Project Archive

Michigan poll: Trump's edge takes notable leap in battleground state

An exclusive new Free Press poll of likely Michigan voters shows former President Donald Trump has taken a notable 7-percentage-point lead over incumbent President Joe Biden in the state, a result certain to further worry Democrats already pushing for Biden to abandon his reelection bid.

"It's only going to add to the pressure on Biden to step aside and have someone replace him," said Bernie Porn, the pollster for EPIC-MRA in Lansing, which conducted the survey of 600 voters for the Free Press and its media partners. "The Democrats are in a difficult position."

The poll showed Trump, who held a rally in Grand Rapids on Saturday evening, leading Biden 49%-42% in a head-to-head matchup, with 9% undecided, saying they would vote for neither or refusing to answer. In a five-way race, Trump led with 43% to 36% for Biden, 8% for independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 2% each for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West. Again 9% said they either would not vote for president, pick someone else or were undecided.

Trump led in every region of the state, including in metro Detroit — defined as Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties and seen as the most predominantly Democratic region in Michigan — where he held a slim but remarkable 46%-44% edge in the head-to-head matchup with Biden and a 43%-38% margin in the five-way race.

Trump's lead in metro Detroit is a significant indicator of how the political winds have changed for Biden, who four years ago, beat Trump 56%-40% in the region.

The poll, which comes after a disastrous debate performance by Biden in late June when he struggled to form coherent answers and follows last Saturday's assassination attempt against Trump in Pennsylvania, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. EPIC-MRA began the survey the same day Trump was wounded in that assassination attempt at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, in which a spectator was killed and two other people were seriously injured. Secret Service shot and killed the gunman. The polling ended Wednesday, the third day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, where Trump accepted his party's nomination for the third time.

Its result shows Trump has more than doubled his lead in Michigan, a pivotal swing state, since EPIC-MRA's last poll, done just before the June 27 presidential debate in Atlanta. In that poll, Trump led by 3 points in the head-to-head matchup.

Porn, who has been doing polling in Michigan for decades, said he couldn't remember a survey he'd done showing a Republican presidential candidate in such a strong position in the state since then-Vice President George H.W. Bush ran successfully for president in 1988. Bush was the last Republican to win Michigan until Trump eked out a narrow win over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016 by two-tenths of a percentage point.

Biden took Michigan by about 3 percentage points over Trump four years ago on his way to winning the White House.

The new poll adds to other recent ones showing growing levels of support for Trump in other swing states, including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, further calling into question Biden's chances of winning reelection amid questions about his age — at 81, he's already the oldest president ever — and mental fitness. Tellingly, the poll found a majority of respondents, 52%, believed Biden should step aside and not run, compared with 36% who believed he should remain the Democratic nominee. Twelve percent were undecided.

More than 30 Democratic members of Congress have called for Biden to step aside as the nominee, including one from Michigan, U.S. Rep. Hillary Scholten, D-Grand Rapids.

In the poll, Democrats were split on the question of whether Biden should step aside, with 46% saying he should to 43% saying he shouldn't and 11% undecided. Independents and Republicans were more certain, with 55% of each bloc saying he should step down and 32% saying he shouldn't, with the rest undecided.

Importantly, 51% of Black voters — a key Democratic constituency — said Biden should remain the nominee compared with 39% who said he should step down.

The poll found that if Biden were to step aside, 19% believed Vice President Kamala Harris should replace him as the nominee; 17%

Forty-seven percent of respondents said they feared Biden continuing as president more than they did Trump returning, compared with 43% who said they feared Trump returning more. Five percent said they feared neither more and 5% were undecided or refused to answer.

(it will only get better for Trump nowThose that voted for bidan will be pissed)

https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/21/michigan-poll-trump-biden-polling/74468127007/