David D. Chapman

@davidchapman141

A little history.

In 1952 & 1968 Dem Incumbents dropped out early. Dems still lost the general.

In 1968, 1972, 1980, dems had near contested conventions.

The dems lost in the general.

Also, the primary Model did predict Biden winning. Now it predicts Trump because of the contested convention.

I thought Biden would stay in because even though his odds of winning were same, he gave dems the best shot.

Harris, is even more disliked. Hillary Clinton all over again. Media thinks they can undo 3.5 years of disapproval in just 5 months.

Candidates like Shaprio & Beshear…normies don't know who they are. 5 months isn't enough

The dems are the Incumbent party. Americans blame them, not just Biden, for this disaster.

They put themselves in a situation where things are gonna get worse, not better.

I expect Trump to win no matter the candidate

11:52 PM · Jul 21, 2024

https://x.com/davidchapman141/status/1815233311809134910