It's Election Day in these states

18 primaries to watch in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas Rep. Cori Bush faces a major challenge in her St. Louis-based seat.

ByGeoffrey Skelley,Kaleigh Rogers,Nathaniel Rakich

August 5, 2024, 4:38 PM ET.1/3

We're getting oh so close to knowing who all the candidates on the November ballot will be, but even as the calendar has turned to August, about a third of all states still have yet to hold their primaries for non-presidential office. On Tuesday, four states — Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington — will head to the polls (or mail in their ballots), and we're tracking over a dozen races between them.

With luck, by Wednesday, we'll know whether the progressive "Squad" has lost another member; whether one of the two remaining Republican representatives who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump has gone down to defeat; and the names of the Democratic and Republican candidates for one of the fall's top Senate races. Here's a full rundown:

Missouri

Races to watch:1st and 3rd congressional districts; governor, attorney general

Polls close: 8 p.m. Eastern

Perhaps no district in the country has seen more political activism in the past decade than Missouri's 1st District. In 2020, on her second try, now-Rep. Cori Bush — a progressive activist who first rose to prominence in the 2014 Ferguson protests in this district — defeated an entrenched incumbent representative in the Democratic primary in this safely blue seat, and she instantly made a name for herself as an activist legislator in Congress.

But her contrarianism — for example, she was one of just six Democrats to vote against President Joe Biden's infrastructure bill — has rubbed many the wrong way. It doesn't help, too, that the Department of Justice is investigating her for paying her husband for personal security services out of her campaign's bank account. As a result, Bush is now facing a serious primary challenge of her own from St. Louis County Prosecutor Wesley Bell.

Like Bush, Bell was first elected as a progressive in the wake of the Ferguson protests, but in this race he has inevitably become associated with the centrist and conservative donors and groups backing his campaign — most notably the American Israel Public Affairs Committee. AIPAC's super PAC has spent a whopping $8.4 million either supporting Bell or opposing Bush, who has been one of Israel's loudest critics in Congress over its conduct in the war against Hamas.

All told, pro-Bell groups have outspent pro-Bush groups $12.1 million to $2.9 million, according to OpenSecrets, and Bell's actual campaign has outraised Bush's $4.8 million to $2.9 million as well. But with all the advantages of incumbency as well as plenty of local endorsements, Bush will not be easy to defeat. A July 21-24 poll conducted by the Mellman Group/Democratic Majority for Israel gave Bell 48 percent support and Bush 42 percent, but since DMFI supports Bell and internal polls usually overestimate their preferred candidate's support, that implies the two candidates are neck-and-neck.

The Republican primary in the dark-red 3rd District, by contrast, has gotten a fraction of the attention but has similarly high ideological stakes. Old-guard Republican Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer is retiring, and it seems likely he will be replaced by a more hardline conservative, former state Sen. Bob Onder (whom Luetkemeyer also defeated in the 2008 primary en route to winning this seat in the first place). A bunch of GOP heavy hitters (Trump, the House Freedom Fund, the Club for Growth) have lined up behind Onder, who was known for his obstructionist ways in the state legislature.

Not everyone is thrilled about the prospect of Onder heading to Congress, however. Establishment-aligned super PACs have spent $4.9 million opposing Onder or supporting his main opponent, former state Sen. Kurt Schaefer, outdistancing the $3.0 million groups have spent to boost Onder or attack Schaefer. Luetkemeyer is supporting Schaefer as well, but it doesn't seem like he's catching on. Onder's campaign recently released a poll from Remington Research Group showing him leading Schaefer 34 percent to 14 percent, with five minor candidates combining for 16 percent, and 35 percent undecided…

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/538/18-primaries-watch-missouri-michigan-washington-kansas/story?id=112521481

>>21360926

2/3

Missouri will also elect a new governor in 2024, with the Republican primary likely to be decisive in this solidly red state. Thanks to strong name recognition (his father, former U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft, is a former Missouri governor and senator), Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft started off the year with a healthy lead in the polls. However, Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe outraised Ashcroft $4.2 million to $1.4 million, and Kehoe and his allies have outpaced Ashcroft and friends $11.2 million to $6.5 million in total ad spending, per AdImpact. Tellingly, once Kehoe's side started deploying that cash, Ashcroft's lead evaporated: According to 538's polling average of the race, Ashcroft and Kehoe go into the primary running almost even at around 25 percent apiece.

538's polling average of the Missouri governor Republican primary as of Aug. 5 at 2 p.m. Eastern.538 photo illustration.

Finally, the Republican primary for Missouri attorney general is a battle between two culture warriors. After former Attorney General Eric Schmitt was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2022, Gov. Mike Parson appointed his general counsel, Andrew Bailey, to the post. Bailey is now seeking his first full term in office, but first he'll have to get through Will Scharf, who is one of Trump's personal attorneys.

As attorney general, Bailey has thrown his office's weight behind many a conservative cause célèbre; last year, he issued (but eventually rescinded) emergency rules that limited access to gender-affirming care for both children and adults, and in July he sued New York over Trump's criminal conviction there. But Scharf actually argues that Bailey hasn't been enough of an activist AG, and he's tried to frame himself as a "conservative outsider" facing off against "the Jefferson City establishment."

Indeed, virtually every major Republican in state politics, including Parson, Schmitt and Sen. Josh Hawley, has endorsed Bailey. And if Scharf thought his old boss would come through for him, he was sadly disappointed: Trump issued yet another wishy-washy endorsement in this race, giving both candidates his seal of approval. And although, thanks to profligate spending from the Club for Growth, Scharf has more money behind him than Bailey does, it looks like incumbency will carry the day here: A July 10-11 poll from co/efficient sponsored by Bailey's campaign gave Bailey a 21-point lead.

Michigan

Races to watch: U.S. Senate; 3rd, 8th, 10th and 13th congressional districts

Polls close: 8 p.m. Eastern in most of the state, 9 p.m. Easternin four counties in the Upper Peninsula

Michigan is the only out-and-out battleground state voting on Tuesday, and its headline race is an open U.S. Senate seat that Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow's retirement has left up for grabs. On the Democratic side, Rep. Elissa Slotkin looks well-positioned to defeat actor Hill Harper: She's regularly polled above 50 percent in the primary contest while outraising Harper $24.1 million to $2.8 million. In fact, Slotkin is already looking ahead to the general election, as demonstrated by her sizable ad buy for October and November.

Until a couple of weeks ago, the Republican primary contest looked at least somewhat more competitive. Former Rep. Mike Rogers, who retired from Congress in the 2014 cycleand had previously been critical of Trump, shifted his rhetoric and garnered the former president's endorsement in March, which along with his fundraising haul of $5.4 millionhas made him the favorite. Businessman Sandy Pensler, who'd self-funded almost all of his campaign's $5.0 million war chest, did seem to have the wherewithal to challenge Rogers. But on July 20, Pensler dropped out and endorsed Rogers, making the former congressman an even clearer favorite.

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/538/18-primaries-watch-missouri-michigan-washington-kansas/story?id=112521481

>>21360930

3/3

Now Rogers only has to contend with two other candidates, both of whom have criticized Rogers's conservative bona fides. The more notable name is former Rep. Justin Amash, who famously left the GOP to become an independent and voted to impeach Trump in 2019. In his campaign, Amash has run as a small-government critic of Rogers, whom Amash has accused of being an "establishment stooge" and part of the "deep state." Still, Amash has only raised $703,000, and while pro-Amash groups have forked out $1.7 million to boost him or attack Rogers, that's a far cry from the $5.0 million that outside groups have spent to help Rogers. Additionally, physician and pastor Sherry O'Donnell is running as an ardently pro-Trump candidate with endorsements from a number of far-right figures. But she's only brought in $434,000 and has received no outside assistance.

Turning to the House, both parties have contested primaries in Michigan's 8th District, a toss-up seat located around Flint that is open following the retirement of Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee. In the GOP race, former Trump administration official Paul Junge is running again after losing to Kildee in 2022 and to Slotkin in 2020, while retired Dow Chemical Company executive Mary Draves has pointed to those defeats as evidence that Junge would be a weaker general election choice. However, Draves appears to have her work cut out for her in the primary: Junge has outraised her $2.1 million to $546,000 (Junge has self-funded $2 million to Draves's $259,000), money he's used to attack Draves as "woke." Although the GOP-aligned Winning for Women Action Fund has spent $385,000 to aid Draves, it may not be enough. Polls conducted on behalf of Junge's campaign previously found him surpassing 50 percent support — and that was before Trump endorsed Junge on July 26.

Meanwhile, Democrats have a three-way primary for this seat. The favorite is state Sen.Kristen McDonald Rivet, who has raised $1.7 million and has endorsements from Emily's List(they only support lefties) and the United Auto Workers labor union, as well as from Kildee and other Democratic officeholders. She's also the preferred choiceof the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. McDonald Rivet's main opponentis former Army Ranger Matt Collier, who served as Flint's mayor back in the early 1990s. Collier has brought in $906,000(almost half self-funded) and has backing from veterans groups.

Two June surveys by Public Policy Polling on behalf of Collier's allies found him within striking distance of McDonald Rivet. But Kildee publicly expressed irritation with Collier over a campaign ad that used an image of Kildee's uncle, the late Democratic Rep. Dale Kildee, because while Collier once worked for the elder Kildee in the 1980s, he later considered challenging him in the 1990s as a Republican. Also running is State Board of Education President Pamela Pugh, who switched over from the Senate race and has raised $552,000 for her bid.

In the competitive but blue-leaning 3rd District centered on Grand Rapids, two Republicans are battling to face Democratic Rep. Hillary Scholten. The money race has been close, as businessman Michael Markey has raised $793,000 to attorney Paul Hudson's $630,000 (both have self-funded to a sizable extent). But Hudson may have the upper hand thanks to West Michigan for Change, an outside group funded by his brother that has spent $698,000 supporting Hudson or attacking Markey. The race has become fairly ugly, as WMFC has argued that Markey supported the Green New Deal, a position associated with progressives, while Markey has sought to link Hudson to the Chinese Communist Party because Hudson once represented a Chinese auto parts supplier. We've seen no polls of this race, so it's hard to know who will advance to go up against Scholten, who looks likely to win renomination in her own primary.

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/538/18-primaries-watch-missouri-michigan-washington-kansas/story?id=112521481

Jason Miller Hosts WarRoom Discussion On Kamala's Next Steps

Joe, Mika and friends are lying about Kamala

11:16

https://rumble.com/embed/v57gfp9/?pub=4

>>21360950

Kameltoe didn't want Shapiro because he's jewish, but she knew he would get all the attn as VP, of all things she's an insecure narcissist that cackles too much.

This am: KAMALA CHOOSES TIM WALZ FOR VP.

She chose the boring one, how are they gonna her insane cackling and giggling all the time.

If anything Normal Democrats won't vote this insane Marxist, a woke Communist, and even worse.

Who's ever doing the polls, these people are manipulating the people they polled

"They Control Billions Of People" Michael & Google's Worst Nightmare | Dr. Epstein. May 11, 2024

2:21 hours

Reminder Dr. Epstein proves Google manipulates all info they release, and give dems where and when to vote and either no republicans races or giving wrong dates and time. This is two months old but Epstein has not stopped tracking all of what Google is doing.

Michael Knowles sits down with Dr. Epstein, the former editor-in-chief of Psychology Today. Together, they uncover the unsettling truth about how big tech companies, particularly Google, wield immense influence over our thoughts and behaviors through the algorithms embedded in their search engines. Dr. Epstein breaks down how seemingly neutral search results can be subtly manipulated to shape public perception, political preferences, and even purchasing decisions. If you want to understand how tech giants are silently steering your daily choices, don't miss this eye-opening conversation that dives into the hidden tactics shaping modern society.

Dr. Robert Epstein broke onto the scene after his Joe Rogan interview that went viral. Election integrity, election interference, hoaxes, myths, and so much more are all topics covered in this episode.

Wouldn't it be bad if Google glitches for the next 3 monthsHint, hint to the Guardians. Kek

https://youtu.be/3GE3HoJMEMw

Charlie Spiering Exposes Kamala's Radical PoliciesShe's insane!

Bannons War Room

4:16

https://rumble.com/embed/v57gh8d/?pub=4

Kamala's Krash (Ep. 2301)08/05/2024

The Dan Bongino Show

Whistleblowers are telling Bongino that leadership are trying to erase information and SS texts on J13. He's very concerned because it happened on J6. After 6 weeks after J6 they collected all of SS phones and erased everything, saying they lost the data through transition. Cheatle and Rowe lead this erasure. Cheatle wanted to destroy the evidence of Cocaingate at the WH, the lab leader refused to do it.

Rowe is going to try the same thing, the good SS are telling him, they are leading up to disappear evidence on J13. They have already made it difficult for the truth to come out. Sen Johnson and others knew Rowe was lying to them, so they called Bongino asking what are we missing.

They are trying a massive coverup like the did on J6. (I hope to God at least one good SS, backed it up elsewhere)

This is a good listen, ps the OIG report revealed the erasing of texts and others things they did, like how they disappeared the pipebomb at DNC was there.

https://rumble.com/embed/v57fuk5/?pub=4