dChan - Q Origins Project Archive

>How often do hurricanes start in the Gulf? - DIG DIG DIG

Past Track Seasonal Maps

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#tracks_all

Hurricane Three (1852)

A hurricane was located in the central Gulf of Mexico on September 9,[1] potentially the same hurricane as the previous storm.[2] It tracked generally eastward toward the coast of Florida, with its hurricane intensity estimation based on two ship reports. At about 00:00 UTC on September 12, it moved ashore near Clearwater, Florida, as a minimal hurricane, with an estimated minimum barometric central pressure of 985 mbar (29.1 inHg). Accelerating east-northeastward while crossing the state, the cyclone emerged into the Atlantic Ocean as a weakened tropical storm before regaining hurricane status on September 13. Later that day, it was last observed about 250 mi (400 km) east-southeast of Cape Hatteras.[1]

A post in Fort Meade, Florida, reported at least 0.55 in (14 mm) of rainfall during the storm's passage. The hurricane was considered "violent", and gusts were estimated to have reached hurricane force.[4] Rough seas and strong easterly winds beached a vessel near St. Augustine.[12][13]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1852_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Three

Hurricane Three (1858)

The bark Cavallo encountered experienced severe weather in the eastern Gulf of Mexico between September 13 and September 15. It is believed that a tropical storm developed on September 14.[3] Moving northeastward, the storm made landfall near modern-day Palmetto, Florida at 15:00 UTC, with winds of 70 mph (110 km/h).[4] While crossing the state, the storm brought severe damage. Ships remained in port at river ports in the state and at St. Marys, Georgia.[3] After emerging into the Atlantic Ocean near Oak Hill, Florida early on September 15, the system reached hurricane status several hours later. Shortly thereafter, the storm intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, peaking with winds of 105 mph (165 km/h). On September 16, the hurricane passed offshore North Carolina and then weakened to a Category 1 hurricane while east of the Mid-Atlantic states.[4]

At 17:00 UTC on September 16, the storm made landfall near East Hampton, New York with winds of 80 mph (130 km/h). About an hour later, it struck again just west of Groton, Connecticut with winds of 75 mph (120 km/h). Early on September 17, the system weakened to a tropical storm and dissipated over the Gulf of Saint Lawrence several hours later.[4] Parts of this storm were first described by David M. Ludlum, who called it The New England Tropical Storm of 1858. However, barometer readings taken at Sag Harbor, New York and Providence, Rhode Island, along with ship reports and wind speeds recorded at Bangor, Maine and Nantucket, Massachusetts, conclude that the system reached hurricane intensity.[3] In Maine, strong gales occurred, with Bangor reported having "one of the heaviest in years." Trees and chimneys toppled throughout the southeastern portions of the state. There was also minor damage to shipping in Belfast.[6]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1858_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Three

Hurricane Eight (1859)

A low pressure area developed over the Bay of Campeche between October 23 and October 24,[6] with a tropical storm forming on the latter date. At least four other ships in that portion of the Gulf of Mexico sustained appreciable structural damage. One ship capsized in the storm with all hands lost except one seaman, who was picked up on November 2 by a passing vessel. The survivor said he was stranded on the wreck for five days, indicating that his ship went down on October 28. Stormy weather was reported near Bermuda. Partagás and Diaz used these reports to create a track for the storm.[14] Initially, the storm drifted north-northeastward and northeastward. By 12:00 UTC on October 26, it was estimated that the system became a hurricane and intensified slightly further to peak at winds of 90 mph (150 km/h).[5] Shortly thereafter, the hurricane began accelerating east-northeastward due to a cold front. At 18:00 UTC on October 28, the storm made landfall near St. Petersburg, Florida.[6] A barometric pressure of 974 mbar (28.8 inHg) was observed,[6] the lowest in relation to the storm. The storm emerged in the Atlantic less than six hours later and transitioned into an extratropical cyclone early on October 29.[5]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1859_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Eight

NOAA records go back to 1851. I'm working forward, year by year. Three already in the first decade.

>>21721514

In 1852 they say that 2 and 3 could be the same storm. Anon doubts this because that is a lot of distance to cover, including a reversal of direction of travel, in only three days.

>>21721614

I'm not counting all hurricanes/tropical storms that form in the gulf though. Am only documenting those that formed in the gulf and then traveled west to east across (or into) the Florida peninsula. I'm a long way from being done with the dig all the way up to the present. Will post a full mini bun when finished. But am thinking that this dig will show that those making claims about how this never, or almost never, happens will be shown to be inaccurate statements.

>>21721204 past bread

>How often do hurricanes start in the Gulf? - DIG DIG DIG

>>21721354

>>21721514

Past Track Seasonal Maps

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#tracks_all

Hurricane Seven (1867)

The Galveston Hurricane of 1867

Late on October 2, a hurricane formed in the Gulf of Mexico, off the coast of northeastern Mexico. Holding its intensity, the storm system paralleled the Texas coastline, causing "many" deaths. A storm tide value of 7 feet (2.1 m) was reported in Ludlum (1963), and it is possible that Brownsville, Texas, was in the western eyewall of the hurricane at the storms closest approach.[3] Turning towards Louisiana, the storm made landfall on the state with winds of 100 mph (160 km/h), a Category 2 on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Moving to the east and weakening, the storm made landfall on the state of Florida during the day on October 6. Holding its strength while crossing the Sunshine state, the tropical storm re-emerged into Atlantic waters. Taking a slight turn to the north, it dissipated off the coast of North Carolina on October 9.[5]

The hurricane struck Texas, near the mouth of the Rio Grande, and devastated Brownsville, Matamoros, and Bagdad. Because of the devastating effects in these three, state authorities sought help from the governors of Nuevo León and Coahuila. The governor of Nuevo León authorized the state to send over 100 bushels of corn; Coahuila's sent 500 loads of flour. Relief was also sent from Veracruz in two vessels. Agriculturalists in Matamoros were allowed to send their goods to Monterrey for storage. The entire population of Bagdad fled, while Matamoros was left nearly in ruins. The official death toll in the area was unknown, but local accounts stated there were at least 26 dead. Entire families disappeared from the area too.[9]

Most buildings in Brazos Santiago were leveled. Clarksville, two miles inland, was also devastated and shortly later abandoned.[10] Galveston, already in the midst of a yellow fever epidemic, was flooded by a storm surge. The mainland rail bridge, a hotel and hundreds of homes in the city were washed away. Twelve schooners and a river steamboat were wrecked in the bay there and wharves destroyed.[11] On October 3 high seas and heavy rains flooded New Orleans. Bath houses and a saw mill there were blown away. Houses were also swept away at Milneberg and at Pilottown, Louisiana. The Ship Shoal Light was damaged while the Shell Keys lighthouse was destroyed and its keeper killed. High winds and heavy rainfall continued across southeast Louisiana until October 6, inflicting damage on crops.[12][13]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1867_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Seven

Tropical Storm Two (1868)

A ship sunk in the western Gulf of Mexico on October 1, which was the first indication of the second tropical cyclone of the season.[2] The storm moved slowly northeastward toward the southeastern Louisiana coastline, intensifying to its estimated peak winds of 70 mph (110 km/h). On October 4, it passed near or over southeastern Louisiana,[1] producing heavy rain and gusty winds in New Orleans. Flooding was observed in portions of the city,[2] and the West Rigolets Lighthouse on Lake Pontchartrain suffered $5,000 in damage due to the storm (1868 USD, $81,000 2010 USD).[5] The storm accelerated northeastward and struck near Apalachicola, Florida late on October 4.[1]

As the storm crossed over the Florida panhandle and southeastern Georgia, the winds weakened to 45 mph (72 km/h),[1] although it still produced heavy rainfall and gusty winds in Savannah, Georgia. No severe damage was reported in the city.[2] The tropical storm continued northeastward, emerging into the western Atlantic and paralleling the coastlines of the Carolinas just offshore.[1] Several ships reported strong winds and rough seas.[2] On October 6, the storm restrengthened to its peak intensity before becoming an extratropical cyclone about 200 mi (320 km) southeast of Cape Cod;[1] however, one meteorologist assessed it as acquiring extratropical characteristics after it exited Georgia into the western Atlantic.[2] As an extratropical storm, it reached winds of 80 mph (130 km/h), based on a ship report south of Atlantic Canada.[6] Late on October 7, the storm was last observed to the south of Newfoundland. The storm was the only one in the season not to attain hurricane status.[1]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1868_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_Two

>>21721204 past bread

>How often do hurricanes start in the Gulf? - DIG DIG DIG

>>21721354

>>21721514

>>21721660

Past Track Seasonal Maps

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#tracks_all

Hurricane Six (1871)

The schooner Robert Myhan encountered a hurricane with winds of 80 mph (130 km/h) on September 5,[23] likely located near geographic center of the Gulf of Mexico. At 14:00 UTC the next day, it made landfall near Cedar Key, Florida, as a minimal hurricane,[6] with an estimated barometric pressure of 982 mbar (29.0 inHg).[4] Quickly weakening to a tropical storm, the system emerged moved northeastward across Florida and emerged into the Atlantic early on September 7. Later that day, the storm curved east-northeastward and was last noted late on September 8 offshore North Carolina.[6] Heavy rainfall occurred in Florida and Georgia. Additionally, the brig Martha suffered significant damage about 70 mi (115 km) east of Tybee Island, Georgia.[24]

Chenoweth's study also begins the track of this storm over the Gulf of Mexico and eventually shows it striking Florida. However, the storm instead originates just offshore Tampa and makes landfall near Port St. Joe. The cyclone also crosses through Georgia before emerging into the Atlantic, while the system dissipated east of the state on September 9

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1871_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Six

Hurricane Seven (1871)

A tropical storm was first sighted in the Bay of Campeche on September 30. It continued moving in a northeast direction, paralleling the Texas coast and strengthening to a Category 1 hurricane while doing so. Early on October 4, the hurricane passed south of the Mississippi River Delta. At 16:00 UTC on October 5, it finally made landfall on Taylor County, Florida, as a strong tropical storm with winds of 70 mph (110 km/h). After re-entering the Atlantic Ocean, the storm was last sighted east of Cape Hatteras.[6] At least three people were killed at Galveston and several ships were wrecked or foundered, some with the loss of all hands.[9]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1871_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Seven

This hurricane began as a tropical storm about 140 mi (230 km) north of the Yucatán Peninsula early on October 22. Intensifying slightly as it moved northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico, the storm reached winds of 60 mph (95 km/h) prior to making landfall near Clearwater, Florida, around 08:00 UTC on October 23. About 10 hours later, the cyclone emerged into the Atlantic just north of Cape Canaveral and then curved north-northeastward. After briefly reaching hurricane intensity on October 24, the system made landfall near Topsail Beach, North Carolina, early on October 25 with winds of 60 mph (95 km/h). The storm then moved generally northeastward across the Northeastern United States before emerging into the Gulf of Maine on October 27 and becoming extratropical. The system then dissipated just offshore Nova Scotia on the following day.[6] A track for the storm's movement over the East Coast of the United States was included in the October 1872 edition of the Monthly Weather Review, making it one of the earliest cyclone paths to be published by the United States Army Signal Service, a predecessor of the National Weather Service.[4]

Little impact occurred in northeastern Florida, aside from 5.94 in (151 mm) of rainfall in Jacksonville.[13] The Signal Service issued storm warnings along the East Coast of the United States from Wilmington, North Carolina, to New York City.[14] The storm produced 4–8 in (100–200 mm) of rain in Weldon and Tarboro in North Carolina and the Norfolk area in Virginia.[9] In Norfolk, Virginia, 6.29 in (160 mm) of precipitation occurred on October 24, setting a daily record.[10] One two-story brick home collapsed in Richmond, but its occupants were not present.[15] Abnormally high tides impacted many inland waterways in eastern Virginia, including Cameron Run, which reached "almost as high as ever before known", according to the Alexandria Gazette and Virginia Advertiser.[11] Around 2 in (51 mm) of precipitation also fell in many coastal areas of the Mid-Atlantic and New England.[16]

Chenoweth's study begins the track for this storm on August 23 as a tropical depression offshore the Southeastern United States. He argued that the system either did not traverse the Florida peninsula, or was not a cyclone at the time. The study proposed that the cyclone remained well-below hurricane intensity and maintained tropical storm status for only about 18 hours from October 24 to early the next day. Chenoweth also theorizes that it transitioned into an extratropical cyclone over Pennsylvania on October 26.[5]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1872_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Five

>>21721204 past bread

>How often do hurricanes start in the Gulf? - DIG DIG DIG

Am only documenting those that formed in the gulf and then traveled west to east across (or into) the Florida peninsula.

Past Track Seasonal Maps

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#tracks_all

Hurricane Five (1872)

This hurricane began as a tropical storm about 140 mi (230 km) north of the Yucatán Peninsula early on October 22. Intensifying slightly as it moved northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico, the storm reached winds of 60 mph (95 km/h) prior to making landfall near Clearwater, Florida, around 08:00 UTC on October 23. About 10 hours later, the cyclone emerged into the Atlantic just north of Cape Canaveral and then curved north-northeastward. After briefly reaching hurricane intensity on October 24, the system made landfall near Topsail Beach, North Carolina, early on October 25 with winds of 60 mph (95 km/h). The storm then moved generally northeastward across the Northeastern United States before emerging into the Gulf of Maine on October 27 and becoming extratropical. The system then dissipated just offshore Nova Scotia on the following day.[6] A track for the storm's movement over the East Coast of the United States was included in the October 1872 edition of the Monthly Weather Review, making it one of the earliest cyclone paths to be published by the United States Army Signal Service, a predecessor of the National Weather Service.[4]

Little impact occurred in northeastern Florida, aside from 5.94 in (151 mm) of rainfall in Jacksonville.[13] The Signal Service issued storm warnings along the East Coast of the United States from Wilmington, North Carolina, to New York City.[14] The storm produced 4–8 in (100–200 mm) of rain in Weldon and Tarboro in North Carolina and the Norfolk area in Virginia.[9] In Norfolk, Virginia, 6.29 in (160 mm) of precipitation occurred on October 24, setting a daily record.[10] One two-story brick home collapsed in Richmond, but its occupants were not present.[15] Abnormally high tides impacted many inland waterways in eastern Virginia, including Cameron Run, which reached "almost as high as ever before known", according to the Alexandria Gazette and Virginia Advertiser.[11] Around 2 in (51 mm) of precipitation also fell in many coastal areas of the Mid-Atlantic and New England.[16]

Chenoweth's study begins the track for this storm on August 23 as a tropical depression offshore the Southeastern United States. He argued that the system either did not traverse the Florida peninsula, or was not a cyclone at the time. The study proposed that the cyclone remained well-below hurricane intensity and maintained tropical storm status for only about 18 hours from October 24 to early the next day. Chenoweth also theorizes that it transitioned into an extratropical cyclone over Pennsylvania on October 26.[5]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1872_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Five

Tropical Storm Seven (1877)

A tropical storm was first discovered on October 24 in the Gulf of Mexico. It paralleled the states of the Gulf Coast for a few days before ultimately making landfall near Cedar Key, Florida, as a tropical storm. The storm later strengthened slightly but dissipated on October 28.[2] Chenoweth proposed the removal of this storm from HURDAT, arguing that evidence supported a cold front moving across Florida, following by the development of an extratropical low offshore the Southeastern United States.[3]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1877_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_Seven

>>21721204 past bread

>How often do hurricanes start in the Gulf? - DIG DIG DIG

Am only documenting those that formed in the gulf and then traveled west to east across (or into) the Florida peninsula.

Past Track Seasonal Maps

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/#tracks_all

Tropical Storm One (1878)

On July 1 a tropical storm developed in the Gulf of Mexico off the Florida coast. It produced frequent rain, easterly wind, and diminishing pressure in Florida. The storm made landfall in Florida on July 2 with maximum sustained winds of 40 knots (74 km/h; 46 mph); Punta Rassa, Florida, recorded a minimum pressure of 29.77 inches of mercury (1,008 mb) that afternoon. Key West, Florida, registered a wind of 36 miles per hour (58 km/h). The storm likely briefly weakened to a tropical depression over Florida but emerged into the Atlantic Ocean that afternoon and quickly regained tropical storm status. Rainy weather with frequent easterly gales extended northward through South Carolina.

On July 3, easterly gales and rainy weather prevailed along the Atlantic coast as far north as Cape Hatteras. Smithville, North Carolina, registered a maximum wind of 38 miles per hour (61 km/h) from the east. The tropical storm exited the coastal region on the afternoon of July 3, and no further records are currently known.[4]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1878_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_One

Tropical Storm Sixteen (1887)

Main article: 1887 Halloween tropical storm

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1887_Halloween_tropical_storm

The track for this cyclone begins on October 29 over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Around 01:00 UTC the next day, the storm made landfall near Tarpon Springs, Florida, with winds of 45 mph (75 km/h). Later on October 30, the system emerged into the Atlantic near Daytona and soon began to strengthen.[7] The steamship Edith Godden recorded a barometric pressure of 993 mbar (29.3 inHg) on October 31.[49] Consequently, the Atlantic hurricane reanalysis project estimated that the system peaked with sustained winds of 70 mph (110 km/h) while situated just offshore North Carolina.[5] However, by late on October 31, the storm transitioned into an extratropical cyclone, which strengthened to hurricane-equivalent intensity as it passed about halfway between Bermuda and New England. The extratropical storm then traversed the Atlantic, striking southwestern England before dissipating over northwestern France on November 6.[7] In his 2014 study, Chenoweth argues that this storm was never tropical and that the strong winds occurred due to a pressure gradient.[6]

The Monthly Weather Review attributed rainfall across the Gulf Coast of the United States since October 24 to this system.[17] In Florida, Fort Meade recorded light rainfall and falling barometric pressures.[5] Strong winds impacted coastal North Carolina, reaching up to 70 mph (110 km/h) at Kitty Hawk. Consequently, many telegraph poles fell throughout the Outer Banks.[34] Farther inland, Lenoir and Raleigh recorded heavy rains and some snow.[17] Strong winds also impacted coastal Virginia, with a 5-minute sustained wind speed of 78 mph (126 km/h) at Cape Henry. At least four ships sank. The Carrie Holmes alone led to a $7,000 loss upon being beached during the storm.[12] Additionally, two people drowned after the schooner Manantico capsized.[17][12] Farther north, Cape Cod, Massachusetts, reported sustained winds of 52 mph (84 km/h).[49]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1887_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_Sixteen

>>21721999

>>21721996

will continue next bread with documenting hurricanes/tropical storms that formed in the gulf and then traveled west to east across (or into) the Florida peninsula.