not doom
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
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East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain
disorganized. This system is forecast to move generally westward to
west-northwestward, and environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for gradual development late this week and into the
weekend. A tropical depression could form as the system moves near
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, then near the Greater
Antilles over the weekend.
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Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
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Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.
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Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
development is possible over the next couple of days if the system
stays over water while it moves slowly northwestward toward Central
America. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible across portions of Central America and southern Mexico
late this week and into the weekend.
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Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
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Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.
Forecaster Hagen
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php