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Anonymous ID: 4c0001 Oct. 24, 2024, 8:01 a.m. No.21821019   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>1070 >>1145 >>1200 >>1234 >>1266

=Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Leads Harris In North Carolina And Arizona, Tie In Georgia (Updated)==

Oct 24, 2024,09:14am EDT

 

TOPLINE The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls out Thursday that show the contest in Georgia is a even, while Trump’s leads in North Carolina and Arizona are within the margin of error.

 

Key Facts

 

Georgia:Trump and Harris are tied at 49% in a Marist poll released Thursday, and Trump leads 49.9%-48.4% in a Bloomberg poll out Wednesday and 47%-43% in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters out Tuesday, while a Washington Post-Schar poll released Monday found Harris ahead 51%-47%. Trump leads by 1.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

 

North Carolina:Trump is up 50%-48% in the Marist poll—within the 3.6-point margin of error—and he’s up by 49.6%-48.5% in Bloomberg’s polling and 50%-47% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while Harris had a two-point lead in an Oct. 16 Quinnipiac poll. FiveThirtyEight’s average shows Trump with a 0.9-point advantage.

 

Arizona:Trump leads 50%-49% in the Marist poll(margin of error 3.7), and Trump is ahead by three points—49%-46%—in the Washington Post-Schar School poll, but Bloomberg reports an effectively tied 49.1%-48.8% Harris lead. Trump is up 1.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

 

Michigan:Harris’ 49.6%-46.5% edge marks the largest lead of any state polled by Bloomberg, but it’s still within the four-point margin of error—and it’s similar to Harris’ 49%-46% lead in Quinnipiac’s polling after trailing Trump 50%-47% earlier this month. Harris is up by just 0.7 points in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

 

Pennsylvania:Harris leads 50%-48.2% according to Bloomberg, and she had a 49%-47% advantage in the Washington Post-Schar poll. Still, Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

 

Nevada:Harris is up 48.8%-48.3% according to Bloomberg, but Trump is ahead 47%-46% in an AARP poll released Tuesday, and they’re tied at 48% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while a Wall Street Journal poll released Oct. 11 found Trump up by 5 points. Harris leads by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

 

==Wisconsin:++ The state is almost as close as it can get, as Trump is up 48.3%-48% in Bloomberg’s poll and the two candidates are tied at 48% according to Quinnipiac, while Harris holds a 50%-47% edge in the Washington Post-Schar poll. Harris is up 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

 

Big Number

 

0.2. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in RealClearPolitics’ national polling average, while FiveThirtyEight’s average shows her up by 1.8 points.

 

Key Background

 

Harris became the Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his debate performance—shifting Democrats’ fortunes dramatically. Prior to the shift, polls consistently found Trump would beat Biden in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/24/election-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-leads-harris-in-north-carolina-and-arizona-tie-in-georgia-updated/

Anonymous ID: 4c0001 Oct. 24, 2024, 8:05 a.m. No.21821048   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>21820998

Seriously, if a woman is haunted for 30 years for being groped, is the most ridiculous thing I've ever heard. They are just trying to repeat the BS of Carrol. Its seems all these liars are old and ugly.

Anonymous ID: 4c0001 Oct. 24, 2024, 8:24 a.m. No.21821149   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>21820946

Good if true, the 2nd Oct surprise on Kamala. I wonder if they released those ridiculous Trump lies in the Atlantic to get a head start?

 

No wonder these losing "stars" are coming out trying to sabotage Trump. They got dragged in by blackmail, they probably said, "if you don't cone out and condemn Trump and support K, your names will be released"

Anonymous ID: 4c0001 Oct. 24, 2024, 8:46 a.m. No.21821262   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>21821253

2/2

North Carolina:The state starts processing mail-in ballots before Election Day and will begin counting its absentee ballots on Election Day before the polls close—anywhere between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m. under state law, with counties adopting resolutions before Election Day that state when they’ll specifically start counting. The state’s election board said in February its processes mean absentee ballots returned before Election Day should be counted by that evening, though ballots returned on Election Day could take longer. North Carolina passed a new voting law that requires officials to hold off on counting in-person early voting ballots until polls close on Election Day, however, which could slightly delay those results by around an hour on election night.

 

Battleground States Counting Mail Ballots Before Election Day

 

Arizona:. The state starts counting early mail-in ballots when they’re received, even if that’s prior to Election Day. The state’s counting could still get slowed down by a regulation that requires officials to wait until polls are closed and all voters have left until they collect ballots that were left in ballot drop boxes on Election Day, however. That could be a sizable share of the vote, with the Maricopa County Recorder’s Office noting those ballots made up 20% of all the county’s ballots in the 2022 general election. Election results could also be slowed down as officials have to process Election Day mail-in ballots and verify signatures before sending them off to be counted, which Maricopa County—the state’s most populous county—said took until the Sunday after Election Day to complete in 2022.

 

Michigan:Michigan lawmakers passed a new law after the 2020 election that now allows absentee votes to start being counted eight days before Election Day, or the day before Election Day for towns with fewer than 5,000 people. That means many results are likely to be quickly reported in the state once polls close.

 

Nevada:Unlike in 2020, the state now allows mail-in ballots to start being counted 15 days before Election Day, and officials can count ballots as they come in on Election Day. That means results are likely to come out more quickly than in 2020, when it took several days before the state’s race was called for President Joe Biden.

 

What We Don’t Know

How long it will take exactly for mail-in votes to be counted. Voters are likely to be less reliant on mail-in voting in this election than they were in 2020, when many voters cast their ballots by mail due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It took days to call that presidential election as a result, as Biden pulled off only a narrow win that required counting most of the mail-in ballots to call. That being said, states are still reporting high numbers of requests for absentee ballots—including approximately 716,000 in Wisconsin and 1.9 million in Pennsylvania, the two slowest states for reporting—suggesting ballots could still take a while to count.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/10/23/these-key-swing-states-dont-count-mail-ballots-in-advance-results-may-take-days/

 

Forbes making excuses for the steal!

Anonymous ID: 4c0001 Oct. 24, 2024, 8:49 a.m. No.21821291   🗄️.is 🔗kun

==TENNESSEE AG EXPOSES FEDERAL RELEASE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS CONVICTED OF DANGEROUS CRIMES

NASHVILLE ==– Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti today announced that following a successful lawsuit by the Tennessee Attorney General’s Office, United States Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”) was forced to produce previously undisclosed information about the agency’s release of thousands of detained migrants, including dangerous convicted criminals. The hundreds of pages of documents obtained shed light on federal authorities’ since-abandoned plan to transport potentially thousands of “single adult” immigration detainees into Tennessee.

 

The records show that ICE’s plan to release migrants into this State was derailed by pushback from Tennessee’s Governor and U.S. Senators and ultimately stopped through successful litigation by the Tennessee Attorney General’s Office and other States. The information further reveals that although ICE abandoned its failed plan for the mass release of detainees into Tennessee, the agency nonetheless released over 7,000 detainees directly from its Louisiana facilities at that time, including more than 30 who were assigned ICE’s highest security-threat level. Released detainees had criminal records, including homicide, sexual assault, aggravated assault with a weapon, armed robbery, kidnapping, smuggling aliens, drug trafficking, burglary, and fraud.

 

“The federal government’s single most important job is to keep dangerous people out of our country and instead it has let killers and rapists illegally cross our border and walk free on our streets,” said Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti. “While the urgent work to fix our broken immigration system continues in Washington, my Office will keep fighting for transparency and accountability.”

 

In December 2022, the Governor’s Office learned that ICE had been coordinating with local immigration-rights groupsand Nashville officials to release large numbers of detainees into Tennessee before the anticipated termination of the federal government’s Title 42 public health order. With support from the Governor, the Tennessee Attorney General’s Office immediately worked to obtain answers from the federal government. When federal authorities failed to respond to Tennessee’s Freedom of Information Act requests, the Attorney General’s Office filed suit.

 

As a result of the litigation, ICE searched for and produced hundreds of pages of responsive records that revealed the following:

Coordination between ICE, Nashville city officials, and a Tennessee immigration nonprofit to arrange for the mass release of detainees into Tennessee

ICE originally planned to release thousands of single, adult, non-citizen detainees from its Louisiana detention facilities into Tennessee

Data from ICE showing the release from its Louisiana detention facilities of non-citizen detainees with violent criminal records, including murder, rape, and kidnapping

 

You can find the documents from ICE here.

 

https://us22.campaign-archive.com/?u=ec6b561603201e0655dafbed9&id=d48238cedb