TYB
https://cdn.nucleusfiles.com/ad/ad9fb892-dfbd-4284-ac55-fc0c234456f5/10.31-memo.pdf
October 31, 2024
Trump Campaign Memo: President Trump is on the Verge
TO: TEAM TRUMP
FROM: TONY FABRIZIO
RE: PRESIDENT TRUMP IS ON THE VERGE
DATE: OCTOBER 31, 2024
I know there is a great deal of polling and data “noise” out there as the media continues their unabashed and unprecedented shilling for Kamala Harris. So, as we head into the final weekend before Election Day, I wanted to give you an update on where we stand based on public polling averages with a look back at where we were 5 days out from Election Day in 2020.
The following table shows the Real Clear Politics polling averages 5 days out in 2020 vs today nationally and in each Battleground State.
As the table clearly illustrates, President Trump’s position nationally and in every single Battleground State is SIGNIFICANTLY better today than it was 4 years ago. In fact, President Trump holds the lead in 5 of the 7 Battleground States that account for over 270 Electoral Votes.
I point this out NOT to stoke overconfidence or complacency, but to illustrate just how close this election is and that victory is within our reach. But the fact remains that we still have a great deal of work to do. While the analysis of early and absentee vote returns in each state are promising, we know that the bulk of President Trump voters will vote on Election Day. So, our continued efforts to turnout our voters are crucial.
As Harris and her campaign struggle to find a closing argument that addresses voters’ worries about inflation, their jobs, taxes, illegal immigration, crime and an unstable world, our closing argument of “Kamala broke it, President Trump will fix it” puts Harris’ failures on each of those issues in stark contrast to President Trump’s successes – and voters are responding positively.
Over the next 5 days there will be a continual barrage of public polling and analysis – some positive and some negative. It is crucial we do not get distracted by the media noise and remain focused on our closing message, persuading the few remaining undecided voters and turning out our base.
Read the memo HERE. >>21872817
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/51608c2a-02e6-40d7-90be-4948774fcafd
Donald J Trump
New Ad - I'm Not With Her
Oct 31, 2024 1:04
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1Awk3PSIJo
October 31, 2024
Trump Campaign Releases New Video: “I’m Not With Her”
Today, the Trump Campaign released a new video of Black men from across the country proudly explaining why they’re supporting President Donald J. Trump.
Team Trump's direct outreach to Black men, including barbershop talks, visits to churches, and community events, has helped contribute to a major increase in support amongst Black men for President Trump. Data shows that President Trump's message to provide economic opportunity, public safety, and secure borders is resonating with Black male voters.
Watch the video HERE. >>21872933
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/2f1b5d33-99cf-499a-b905-8628eb6ff434
Published Oct. 31, 2024, 9:40 a.m. ET
Core inflation rises more than expected in September — largest monthly gain since April
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of underlying inflation posted its biggest monthly gain since April — bolstering the case for slower rate cuts less than a week ahead of the central bank’s meeting to decide its next moves.
The core personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE), which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in September versus a year earlier.
That was ahead of economists’ forecast for a 2.6% increase and up 0.3% from August, representing a larger monthly gain than the month before.
The PCE showed that the overall rate at which prices rose for goods and services last month was 2.1% — the lowest since early 2021, matching economists’ estimates of 2.1% year-over-year.
The numbers are the latest in a string of surprisingly strong economic data that could lead the Fed to take a more cautious approach to rate cuts after slashing its key lending rate by half a percentage point last month.
“The year-over-year core PCE print indicated a 2.7% increase suggesting that the Fed is still on a bumpy course in this last mile to quell inflation and declare victory,” Quincy Krosby, Chief Global Strategist for LPL Financial, said in a statement.
The Fed, led by Chairman Jerome Powell, will need to adopt a gradual approach to lower ratings on the back of resilient consumer spending, higher wages from a series of successful strikes and a solid labor market, Krosby said.
Moreover, there’s a nearly palpable narrative taking hold that the election – rather than offering the market a sense of certainty – will do just the opposite, causing volatility to spike significantly higher,” Krosby said.
The September inflation numbers showed continued price pressures.
Services prices excluding housing and energy accelerated to 0.3%.
Goods prices excluding food and energy were up 0.1%.
Food prices rose 0.4%, the most since early this year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 174 points at 41,967 in early Thursday trading.
Treasury yields and the dollar also were lower following the release.
The central bank is widely expected to cut rates again at the conclusion of its Nov. 6-7 policy meeting, with most economists expecting a smaller, quarter-point cut.
“Yes, prices are high, but the trend has changed – incomes are outpacing price increases again, and over time that will make the cost of living less stressful for household budgets,” Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said in a statement.
Income and spending outlooks for October are probably murky from the impact of the hurricanes and a massive dockworkers’ strike along the East Coast ports, Adams said.
“The Fed will likely put less credence in October’s economic data given the clear reasons to expect temporary distortions,” Adams said. “As such they will likely cut the federal funds rate a quarter percent at the post-election decision next week and look to December’s data to start getting a clearer picture of how the economy is performing after the hurricanes.”
The Federal Reserve slashed interest rates in September by an outsize half-point cut on easing inflation. Monthly inflation of roughly 0.17% would be consistent with the Fed’s goal of an annual 2% rate.
The Fed is also hoping to see low unemployment rates ahead of any future interest rate cuts.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is due to release the October jobs report on Friday.
Expectations for October’s payrolls number are already relatively low.
Destructive hurricanes that wreaked havoc across the Southeastern states — and left Americans jobless — could further dampen these results.
A poor report could discount the Fed’s success with interest rate cuts and dispel the economy’s so-called soft landing, which is a slowdown in growth without enflaming a recession.
Odds of a less aggressive quarter-point interest rate cut at the central bank’s November meeting stand at 94%, as per the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Meanwhile, consumer sentiment rose for the third month in a row to its highest reading since April, according to the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers.
Modest improvements in buying consumer goods thanks to easing interest rates improved consumer outlook, the survey said.
But the upcoming presidential election looms large over consumer expectations, said University of Michigan economist Joanne Hsu, director of the surveys.
https://nypost.com/2024/10/31/business/core-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-in-september/
HAPPY MAGA-WEEN!– It is spooky season, and the price of Halloween under Kamala Harris is enough to make you scream!
With prices up over 20 percent since she took office, Halloween is just the latest victim of Comrade Kamala.
• The cost of candy is up almost 25 percent.
• Your favorite pumpkin latte is up almost 20 percent.
• Costumes are up over 15 percent.
• Carving a pumpkin with your kids? That’s over 18 percent more expensive.
• And even making a cozy bowl of chili seems cursed under Kamala, with meat prices up by 24 percent and bean prices up by 23 percent.
Meanwhile, the PCE report shows wholesale prices rising more than expected >>21873006 and remaining above the Fed’s target after years of rapid price hikes. It’s time to end this nightmare. Vote to Make Halloween Affordable Again! Vote for President Trump!
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/fa435909-f5b9-4d0a-952a-1dac45fd68a8
Megyn Kelly makes her bold election prediction and reveals the 'October Surprise' bombshell that's still yet to drop
1:23
FINAL FLASH POINT
Megyn Kelly thinks the biggest bombshells of this campaign are still yet to drop. 'I don't think we've gotten the October surprise yet,' …
'I think there's a good chance we might know on election night', she said.
If Trump carries the Sun Belts states (Nevada and Arizona in the West and North Carolina and Georgia in the East) and also picks up Michigan and Wisconsin, then, Kelly believes, there may be a prompt resolution.
It's a completely plausible scenario, according to Kelly, who cited polling showing Trump ahead in Georgia – and reports that the Harris hurriedly pulled their campaign ads from North Carolina this week.
Plus, she contends, Trump has the wind at his back.
'If you look at momentum, at least as of right this second, it has been behind Trump over the past 10 days… if you were Trump, you'd want the election to happen tomorrow.'…
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14026623/Megyn-Kelly-election-prediction-trump-harris.html
There's still a few hours left in October.
FIGHT NIGHT FOR KAMALA
Campaign blunder that could cost Kamala victory is revealed in poll that will come as a Halloween scare for Democrats
The biggest mistake Kamala Harris made in her campaign against Donald Trump has been revealed in a poll for DailyMail.com that shows it could be fatal for her election chances.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14026923/kamala-harris-donald-trump-biggest-blunder-campaign-poll.html
>Campaign blunder that could cost Kamala victory is revealed in poll that will come as a Halloween scare for Democrats
video
Kellyanne Conway slams 'misogynist' Mark Cuban
after his comments on The View about women who support Trump