Anonymous ID: 2b37a8 Nov. 2, 2024, 5:30 p.m. No.21886120   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6141 >>6429 >>6708 >>6807 >>6848

Donald J. Trump

NEW YORK! In-person early voting ends tomorrow! Let's #SwampTheVote and make this election #TooBigToRig!

https://vote.donaldjtrump.com/ny/

 

Nov 02, 2024, 8:17 PM

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113416144611623947

Anonymous ID: 2b37a8 Nov. 2, 2024, 5:31 p.m. No.21886125   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6133 >>6429 >>6708 >>6807 >>6848

Donald J. Trump

OHIO! You have until tomorrow to vote early in-person! We need to make this election #TooBigToRig!

vote.donaldjtrump.com/oh/

 

Nov 02, 2024, 8:20 PM

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113416158850015609

Anonymous ID: 2b37a8 Nov. 2, 2024, 6:15 p.m. No.21886412   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6551 >>6708 >>6807 >>6848

Rasmussen Reports

TRUMP WINS: Better Off Than 2016 and 2024, Wins Popular Vote

The final numbers are in and Rasmussen weighs in on what we may see next Tuesday. (Correction: no folks Utah isn't blue. It was an errand click.)

 

Nov 2, 2024 (6 hours ago) 21:23

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wMLpLb4Ddw

Anonymous ID: 2b37a8 Nov. 2, 2024, 6:43 p.m. No.21886666   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6708 >>6807 >>6848

November 02, 2024

Trump Campaign Memo: Des Moines Register Outlier Poll Versus Stable Emerson College Survey of Iowa

TO: Trump Campaign Senior Leadership Team

FROM: Tony Fabrizio, Fabrizio Lee & Associates –Chief Pollster,DJTFP/RNC

Tim Saler, Grassroots Targeting –Chief Data Consultant, DJTFP/RNC

SUBJ: Des Moines Register outlier poll versus stable Emerson College survey of Iowa

DATE: November 2, 2024

 

BLUF: Des Moines Register is a clear outlier poll. Emerson College, released today, far more closely reflects the state of the actual Iowa electorate and does so with far more transparency in their methodology.

 

Facts about voter registration & early voting:

Voter registration on Election Day 2020: R+0.5% (+10,547 voters)

Voter registration as of today: R+6.4% (+143,490 voters)

These figures include inactive voters; the margins are improved if reviewing only active voters.

 

Absentee & early voting as of this point in 2020: D+13 (-121,602 voters)

Absentee & early voting as of today: even (-20 voters)

 

To their credit, the Emerson College poll has an R+4 party split (below 2020 exit polls at R+10), and a Trump +8 recalled 2020 vote margin that aligns with reported returns. Emerson shows Trump ahead of Harris 53-43 in their survey.

 

In the outlier Des Moines Register poll, they claim Harris leads with seniors (age 65+) by 19 points (55-36). In 2020, President Trump carried seniors 54-45 over Biden according to CNN exit polls.

 

The Emerson College poll released today concurs with the CNN exits from 2020, with President Trump solidly ahead 54-45 among voters aged 60-69, and 54-44 among voters aged 70+.

 

The Des Moines Register also claims Harris leads by 20 points among women (56-36). In 2020, President Trump tied Biden 49-49 among women according to CNN exits.

 

Once again, Emerson College's poll today is more similar to the exits, showing instead a lead for President Trump of 5 points - 52-47.

 

Des Moines Register claims President Trump leads 51-39 among voters without a college degree. In 2020, President Trump won non-college voters by 17 points (58-41).

 

Yet again, Emerson College's poll from today agrees, with President Trump leading strongly among voters who have less than a 4-year degree.

 

Unlike Emerson which transparently reports its share of partisans and the 2020 vote recall, Des Moines Register does NOT disclose the distribution of this information, even though they asked it in their survey.

 

Emerson College reports President Trump leading strongly 93-7 among Republicans, while getting 8% of Democrats to Harris's 92%. President Trump solidly leads among independents 55-42.

 

Read the full memo here. https://cdn.nucleusfiles.com/a4/a4f946f9-4e27-4bae-8e32-e77638040f06/11.2-djt-iowa-poll.pdf

 

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/7c2c6614-de45-4bc7-bb93-940a3efe1691