SMOKING GUN that Polymarket is being actively manipulated. Trump dropped nearly 14 points over a 4 day period during which there was no significant bad news for his campaign, multiple Kamala missteps and gaffes, there was a major "garbage" backlash, and polls were almost all moving to the right. What gives you may ask?
Exhibit 1: First Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen (reference sauced YT video) makes an interdasting point. At 14:50, he shows you his analysis of the betting markets, specifically Polymarket. Two important points: 1) the size of this market is grossly exaggerated. While it shows a market size of $3B, which would seem to indicate a large and thus fairly efficient and difficult to manipulate market, the actual size of the market is significantly smaller. 2) he analyzed trades over the specific period of 6 hours where Trump dropped by 8 points, and determined that only $625k in net flows drove that 8 point contraction.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2DVKDq_1hTQ
Exhibit 2: Diligent Denizen on X shared a leaked audio of MSM strategizing to manipulate the betting markets. Per MSM Whistleblower statement: "Everyone in the MSM office was in panic and buzzing because Polymarket & other betting odds sites were giving Trump 60%+ odds of winning." Additionally, a reference to a clandestine meeting between Tim Walz and the head of Polymarket right before the precipitous and unexplained drop.
https://x.com/DiligentDenizen/status/1853183309414875328