>>21945039
thread
Rasmussen Reports
"What a pack of lying scumbags the entire industry is," (Mitchell) said. "I got a lot of flack for saying that this was gonna be 1980s-style landslide. And I think it was a landslide, but as I said, Trump’s not gonna get as much as Reagan because there was a third-party spoiler, but the parallels are that back then, all the pollsters were lying. They were saying that the race was too close to call. This race was never too close to call according to my numbers, and they just ignored them."
"Rasmussen's final national poll had Trump +3 over Kamala, which was spot-on accurate. Their state polling was also remarkably on target, compared to their competitors. Rasmussen correctly called the winner in 93% of these states and stayed within the margin of error 79% of the time, demonstrating reliable precision. The average polling error was just -0.7 points, meaning their predictions were very close to the actual results overall. While there were some larger discrepancies in states like Texas and Nevada, Rasmussen’s polling was otherwise consistently on target, especially in high profile states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Arizona."
"Mitchell addressed criticism from Nate Silver, who “downranked us as Republican pollsters,” despite Rasmussen not showing statistical bias. He discussed a controversy where leaked emails showed that Rasmussen had shared unreleased poll results with the Trump campaign, noting that Rasmussen shares unreleased polling with many people and even has a subscription service for it."
"He highlighted the irony of Ann Seltzer, a respected pollster, releasing two conflicting polls: one showing Trump up by 18 and another with Harris up by 3. According to Mitchell, the Harris +3 poll was “communicated early to Democrat circles,” and they were “ecstatic and laughing and because they really needed hope, and they got a gold standard pollster handing them exactly the copium they needed.”"
"He suggested Seltzer’s move was an attempt to help Democrats maintain morale, even if it compromised her credibility, adding that her past polls showing Trump up double digits in Iowa reflected the reality. “So what was funny is she destroyed her credibility to help stop Trump, and she was actually a damn good pollster.”"
>>21945129
>https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/11/08/rasmussen-reports-completely-vindicated-by-2024-election-results-n4934072
4:33 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1855000823614308528
to
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1855000831462195497