>Is Castro Jr done?
CAN TRUDEAU BE FORCED OUT BY HIS LIBERAL PARTY?
Unlike Britain, where party leaders are chosen by the parliamentary caucus and can be removed quickly, the Liberal leader is selected by a special convention of members. There is therefore no formal party mechanism to remove Trudeau if he wants to stay.
CAN TRUDEAU BE FORCED OUT BY PARLIAMENT?
Canadian governments must show they have the confidence of the House of Commons elected chamber. Votes on budgets and other spending are considered confidence measures and if a government loses one, it falls. In virtually all cases, an election campaign starts immediately.
The House of Commons closes for the winter break on Tuesday and does not return until Jan. 27. This suggests the earliest a confidence vote could be held is in late February or March since it would likely take weeks for the opposition to propose their own motion.
IS THERE ANY OTHER WAY TRUDEAU CAN BE FORCED OUT?
Ultimate constitutional power in Canada lies with Governor General Mary Simon, who is the personal representative of King Charles, the head of state. She can in theory remove Trudeau, but in real life this would not happen.
HOW MIGHT TRUDEAU SURVIVE?
Trudeau's Liberals have a minority of seats in the House and therefore rely on the support of other parties on a vote-by-vote basis to govern. Until now the left-leaning New Democrats, who seek to attract the same voters as the Liberals, have helped keep Trudeau in power. Although New Democrat leader Jagmeet Singh is under pressure to topple Trudeau, polls show his party, like the Liberals, would be crushed by the official opposition Conservatives in an election.
WHAT ELSE COULD TRUDEAU DO TO AVOID BEING OUSTED?
Trudeau could prorogue parliament, which would formally end the current session and give him some breathing space. Under this scenario, the return of the House would be delayed by several weeks, allowing the government to unveil a new plan for how it plans to run the country.
WHAT HAPPENS IF TRUDEAU RESIGNS?
If Trudeau resigns, the Liberals will name an interim leader to take over as prime minister while the party sets up a special leadership convention.
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/what-options-does-pm-trudeau-face-canadas-leadership-crisis-2024-12-17/