December 19, 2024
Where Johnson is. Where he might go. And can he survive?
We wish we could say we didn’t see this coming.1/2
Speaker Mike Johnson’s 1,547-page overstuffed CR officially died on Wednesday, less than a day after the congressional leadership posted it online. At first, the House Republican Conference was aghast — truly aghast— at the size and scope of the bill. And then Elon Musk, President-elect Donald Trump and Vice President-elect JD Vance put the final nails in the coffin, saying the mammoth package was absurd, obscene and must include a hike in the debt limit or else==.
Johnson’s months-long effort to craft a CR went up in smoke — quite predictably.We’re going to explain all the dynamics the leadership in both parties are now facing.
The options and what’s next. At some point today, House Republicans and Democrats will likely have separate party meetings to chart their path forward. Democrats have announced their meeting for 9 a.m. We’ll talk more about them below.
But make no mistake — this is Johnson and Trump’s mess to solve.And we’re inching toward a shutdown as government funding runs out at midnight Friday.
Johnson was mostly MIA Wednesday, holed up in his Capitol office for hours without showing his face. Even the House GOP leadership team felt like they were being kept in the dark about what was happening.
Late in the evening, Johnson met with Vance, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Reps. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), Chip Roy (R-Texas) and Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla.), Appropriations Committee Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) and Rules Committee Chair Michael Burgess (R-Texas). Jordan and Roy are conservative hardliners. Diaz-Balart is a senior appropriator.
As Scalise left around 10 p.m., he told reporters “We’re not there yet” when asked whether the debt-limit boost would be part of any new government-funding plan. “A lot of things have come up,” Scalise added.
A somewhat obvious play may be a funding bill with a two-year debt-limit extension. Why? Because Trump supports increasing the debt limit now. Given how volatile Trump was during his first term, there’s no guarantee he’ll do this again. (For what it’s worth, Biden administration officials estimate the debt limit won’t be reached until sometime next summer. GOP leaders were planning to handle it in a reconciliation bill).
Trump is giving Johnson cover for the time being. It’s limited, however. Because Trump, once again, has put his party in a bind. There are probably dozens of Republicans who have never voted for raising the debt ceiling. Now Trump is forcing them to do so.
Here’s another major sticking point — what happens tothe $100 billion in disaster funding and an extension of the farm bill?Good question. Those are pretty muchmust-pass bills. So Johnson needs to find a way forward on those too.
https://punchbowl.news/article/washington/cr-status-johnson-in-trouble/