Zelensky’s slow shift toward negotiating for Ukraine’s futureWAPO of course
A new U.S. president and battlefield realities appear to be pushing Zelensky, who had long insisted on fighting for every inch of occupied land, to the table.1/2
December 23, 2024 at 3:00 a.m. E
KYIV — As Ukrainian forces struggle to hold off Russia’s army on the battlefield and President-elect Donald Trump looks to broker a peace deal, President VolodymyrZelensky has in recent weeks signaled a greater willingness for negotiations to end the war— a major shift for the Ukrainian leader, who had long vowed to fight for every last inch of his country’s land. (To the last Ukrainian, not land, you liars)
Zelensky’s messaging has been careful; he has not explicitly said Kyiv would agree to concessions — territorial or otherwise — even whileRussia occupies more than 20 percent of Ukraine and would probably retain control of that land after any ceasefire.But after previously stating that negotiations could begin only once Moscow withdrew all its troops, Zelensky is now emphasizing the need for long-term security rather than the immediate return of territory.
Zelensky’s change in rhetoric — something Ukrainian and Western officials have noticed —can probably be attributed to a worsening situation on the front line and an incoming U.S. administration that has put future security assistance for Kyiv in doubt. Ukrainian officials throughout the first year (2-1/2 years to this date) the war stressed the importance of reclaiming all of Ukraine’s land, including Crimea and other areas Russia has effectively ruled since 2014, as a condition for any deal.
In recent meetings with Trump and European leaders, however, Zelensky has focused more on what he has referred to as “lasting peace” for Ukraine. The top priority is securing an invite to the NATO military alliance (he's not going to get it ever) and other security guarantees, such as the possible presence of Western peacekeepers, to prevent future Russian attacks.
Officials and analysts said Zelensky’s tone shift is probably an attempt to be more in line with Trump’s emphasis on halting the conflict.But the Ukrainian leader is also trying to ensure his country doesn’t come out empty-handed.(the oligarchs want more money)
Zelensky’s administration “understands things are going to change” under Trump, said Michael McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia who co-chairs the International Working Group on Russian Sanctions with Ukrainian officials.
“I do think for Zelensky, this frees him up from his locked-in position that they were going to fight until the 1991 borders no matter what,” McFaul added. “He can now say, ‘Well, I would’ve loved to have done that, but Trump has come in and things have changed.’”(McCaul is a war monger and gets kick backs from MIC.)
In a recent interview with Sky News,Zelensky said the “hot phase of the war” could stop if Ukraine received NATO membership.The land that Russian forces control could then be returned later “in a diplomatic way,” he said. The comments marked his most striking acknowledgment yet that Kyiv would consider at least temporarily ceding territory. (Never going to happen)
ButNATO diplomats said an invitation to the Western military bloc remains a distant prospectbecause of misgivings among and political uncertainty in member nations allied with Ukraine, including the United States and Germany, and objections from other members, such as Kremlin-friendly Hungary.
A senior NATO diplomat said Zelensky cannot back down from the demand for Western security guarantees despite the reluctance among key allies.
“From a Ukrainian perspective, it’s completely logical to push the issue because, of course, if you’re Ukrainian, the only security guarantee that you really attach value to is NATO membership.So he will do everything to push that. Can’t blame the guy for that,” the diplomat said. Like others cited in this article, the official spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive security matter.
Ultimately, most doubt that Russian President Vladimir Putin is ready to negotiate while his troops are making gains on the front line despite heavy casualties. Some officials speculate that Zelensky is wisely hedging andhoping his more amenable posture will endear him to Trump’s White Houseand leave it open to providing more support for Ukraine’s defense if Putin rejects talks. (Putin has sincerely called for peace talks since almost the beginning. He just wanted Ukraine from killing ethnic Russians since 2014)
https://archive.is/Tdtv3