[I didn't know that the US had put tariffs on precious metals. Metals were sent to the US to avoid the tariffs. Now they are stuck, and London doesn't have enough silver available to provide liquidity.]
Commodities Report: Precious Metals Pause After Record Highs Saxo Bank
Oct 21 2025
A no-tariff outcome would ease existing tightness in the London market by allowing greater movement of U.S.-held metal to Europe. That, in turn, would narrow the recent London-over-COMEX premium that reached pandemic-era extremes in recent weeks and bring one-month lease rates back toward normal levels.
A tariff announcement, by contrast, would have the opposite effect. Metal already inside the United States would effectively become semi-stranded, intensifying tightness in London and driving COMEX premiums higher. Under such a scenario, silver could quickly retest and potentially exceed recent highs, fueled by renewed squeeze dynamics rather than incremental demand growth.
Traders are therefore treating Section 232 as a binary event with asymmetric outcomes. Either scenario offers opportunities, but position sizing will be critical given silver's inherently thin liquidity and tendency toward exaggerated moves.
https://menafn.com/1110224688/Commodities-Report-Precious-Metals-Pause-After-Record-Highs-Saxo-Bank