ANALYSIS
Weaponizing ambiguity: how US shadow diplomacy may be fracturing Iran regime. ==(1/2)=0.5=
Mehdi Parpanchi 4 hours ago
Iran International executive editor
Whether real or not, President Donald Trump’s statement that Iran has reached out for talks is already having an impact:fueling mistrust within Tehran leadership while easing tensions in global oil markets, even as Iranian officials deny any such contact.
President Trump said on Monday that Iran had reached out to Washington for talks after the US threatened to strike Iranian energy infrastructure.
He said,“They called, I didn’t call. They want to make a deal, and we are very willing to make a deal.”
He also claimed that theUnited States had been speaking to “a top person” in Iran, though not to the new supreme leader, and added that “we don’t know whether he is living.”
At the same time, Trump said the threatened strike on Iran’s major power plants had been paused for five days.Oil prices fell after his remarks, while Iran’s foreign ministry denied that any such talks had taken place.
But the importance of Trump’s remarks is not only in the news itself. It is also in what the statement is designed to do.
Trump is trying to achieve two things at once.
First, he is using ambiguity as a political and psychological weapon inside the Islamic Republic. By saying he has been talking to a very senior Iranian figure without naming that person, he is planting doubt and suspicion among what remains of the leadership.
• In current conditions, that matters.
• Iran’s leaders are living in hiding.
• Command centers are disrupted.
• Communications are limited out of fear of interception and assassination.
• Meetings are difficult, if not impossible.
In that setting, a statement like this will be deeply unsettling. ==Each senior figure will now be asking:
• Who is talking to Washington? Who is looking for an off-ramp?
• What is being hidden from the others?
By naming no one, Trump makes everyone in Tehran wonder who is talking to Washington.
This does not affect only the top.
Lower-ranking officials also hear the same message. If they begin to believe that some of their leaders are quietly searching for a way out, they will become more uncertain, more demoralized, =and more open to defection.==
At the same time,hardliners will turn even more aggressively against figures they see as less rigid and begin looking for the supposed traitor within the system, especially after Trump suggested that even Mojtaba Khamenei is unaware of these contacts.
Some reports pointed to Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the possible figure involved. Ghalibaf himself Hasdeniedthat and called the reports fake news aimed at influencing financial and oil markets.
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603234812