>Trump never repented from his Warp Speed BS
bloviating megalomaniacs are psychologically incapable of ever admitting an error, and will reflexively double down every time they are challenged on it
ARE WE OVERDUE FOR A SUPERFLARE?
We've all heard of X-class solar flarespowerful explosions on the sun that pepper satellites with energetic particles and trigger great geomagnetic storms. They can be scary. But not as scary as a new category of solar flare being discussed by researchers: the "S-flare"a solar superflare stronger than X10.
A new paper published in the Journal of Geophysical Research suggests we may be overdue for one.
During the current solar cycle (Solar Cycle 25), Earth has not yet experienced an S-flare. That's a little unusual, according to researchers led by V.M. Velasco Herrera of the National Autonomous University of Mexico. The team looked at 50 years of data from Earth-orbiting satellites. Among 95,627 solar flares, they found 37 Earth-directed S-flares. Every solar cycle since the 1970s has produced one–except Solar Cycle 25.
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There are some clues to when the next S-flare might happen. In the 50-year dataset, the researchers found two underlying rhythms: 1.7 years and 7 years, both linked to magneto-Rossby waves inside the sun. When both rhythms swing into their positive phase at the same time, the probability of an S-flare spikes.
GIFrel: An S-class solar flare (X45) on Nov. 4, 2003.
According to those rhythms, we're exiting a high-risk S-flare window now: mid-2025 through mid-2026. The next high-risk window opens in early 2027 and lasts about 6 months.
In May 2024, Europe's Solar Orbiter detected two possible S-flares on the farside of the sun. Their intensity (with significant error bars) was X11.1 and X16.5. The sun fired the gun; we just happened to be standing behind the target.
Maybe next time. Stay tuned for updates as the 2027 window approaches.
https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=05&month=05&year=2026