Trump-Backed Republican Wins Ohio Special Election
08/07/2018 - 21:48
Update: While the fight was a close as expected - given the massive amounts of cash both parties spent - the winner of Ohio's special House election is Trump-backed Republican Troy Balderson
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by Tyler Durden
Tue, 08/07/2018 - 21:48
Update: While the fight was a close as expected - given the massive amounts of cash both parties spent - the winner of Ohio's special House election is Trump-backed Republican Troy Balderson.
As we noted earlier, while both candidates are already on the ballot in November for a rematch to win a full two-year term, tonight's special election carried major implications for Republicans seeking to hold control of the House and Democrats trying to retake the chamber.
Despite the numbers above CNN, among others refuse to call it.
Donald J. Trump
✔
@realDonaldTrump
· 4 Aug
A great night in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District with Troy Balderson! Troy loves Ohio, and he loves the people of Ohio. He will be fighting for you all the way…
Donald J. Trump
✔
@realDonaldTrump
…Danny O’Connor is a total puppet for Nancy Pelosi and Maxine Waters – Danny wants to raise your taxes, open your borders, and take away your 2nd Amendment. Vote for Troy on Tuesday!
9:43 PM - Aug 4, 2018
As such, the 12th district race - expected to be tight, will be used by some to gauge whether Republicans will ride a "Red Wave" this fall as Trump has predicted, or if the much talked about "blue wave" will give Democrats back their power in one or both chambers of Congress.
The race shouldn’t be this close: Trump won the suburban district in 2016 by 11 points. And the seat, previously held by retired Rep. Pat Tiberi (R), has been held by Republicans since 1980.
But Trump’s popularity is stuck in the mid-40s nationally, giving hope to Democrats they can win the Ohio seat. Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to take over the House in November.
The Ohio race has therefore become a key part of Trump’s appeal, and turned into a must-win for Republicans who are seeking to tie O’Connor to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). -The Hill
A few considerations:
Democrats typically dominate early voting, so the first results are likely to favor O'Connor
Democrats got an early advantage by sending out their “request for absentee ballot” forms earlier than Republicans, and the hard work paid off: As of Thursday, 12,579 Democrats in the district had requested early ballots, with 10,565 actually returning them. By contrast, 11,398 Republicans had requested ballots, while 7,757 had returned them.
Through Friday, 55 percent of the early votes had come from registered Democrats in Franklin, Delaware and Licking counties — which contain about four-fifths of the 12th District’s population — compared with 30 percent from Republicans, according to figures compiled by election statistics guru Mike Dawson. Compare that to a Republican advantage of 35 percent to 26 percent in the November 2016 vote, and the Democratic turnaround is obvious. -WHIOTV7
https:// www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08-07/ohio-special-election-results-polls-closing-heres-what-watch
There's Prayingmedic who does updates a few times a week on YT. You could download his YT's to get a rundown.
https:// www.youtube.com/user/prayingmedic/videos