Decision Desk (D-bias)

Danny O'Connor (D) - Troy Balderson (R)

100-0 0% (default MSM assumption)

61-38 3%

56-42 8%

57-42 12%

55-43 17%

53-45 31%

53-46 32%

52-47 36%

52-46 47%

51-47 52%

50-48 58%

50-49 63%

50-49 65%

50-49 73%

50-49 74%

50-49 78%

50-49 80%

49-49 87%

49-49 90%

49-49 95%

49-50 98%

49-50 100%