Blacksheep anon here.
China's Communist party has never been challenged the way it is now,
and it's not looking good. The party's attack will have two fronts: on theiir
own people, and also military action wherever they think they can get
a victory to announce back home. Xi will not survive, the party may or
may not last. You are looking at a split in the minimum, which ironically
will result in a stronger China in the long term.
NYT article on RR came sooner than I think anyone thought. Their game
is what is called exploitable in game theory terms. They die on the Hilary
hill just to resurrect themselves to die on another. This implies strings
being cut. Things happening with certain three letter agency that not being
reported on the news. True chaos.
This is what is happening in big tech firms: back channel money is drying
up. Favors that were promised if something had occurred not happening
and so what is left except blackmail. If the chief is doing particular things
due to blackmail, but those things are anti company, what happens?
Executives leave. How do you prevent them leaving? The cult. Only the
ones in the cult remain. See the Google video. Can a company run by
a cult compete? Not very well. Give it time, as soon as competition shows
up, things change quickly.
In terms of general geopolotics: Putin will push into Central Asia, he may
give up Ukraine to do so.
Legitimacy of elections in Western Europe will be challenged, ironically
this will come when anti gun laws relax in the United States.