dChan
Anonymous ID: 7e6004 Oct. 5, 2018, 6:42 p.m. No.3356495   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>6525 >>6620 >>7016 >>7136

Trump, GOP Get A Big Kavanaugh Bounce — IBD/TIPP Poll

(excerpts)

 

The Democrats' all-out attack on Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh, which culminated in a blisteringly partisan hearing last Thursday, may have backfired on the party just before the November elections.

 

What's more, the Democrats' advantage on the generic ballot question plunged from 11 points last month to just 2 points this month.

 

"The Kavanaugh hearings galvanized Republicans who saw the proceedings as a ploy by the Democrats to slow the nomination process," said Raghavan Mayur, President of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which conducts the IBD/TIPP Poll. "What's more, many Republicans thought that Kavanaugh's reputation was being maligned by the Democratic Senators."

 

Meanwhile, the Democrats' advantage on the "generic ballot" question has all but disappeared. This asks only registered voters whether they'd prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats or Republicans after the midterm elections in November.

 

The latest poll shows that 45% say they'd prefer Democrats in control, while 43% say they want the GOP to retain control of Congress.

 

This is a huge swing from last month, which had the Democrats up by 11 points over Republicans (50% to 39%).

 

Not surprisingly, Republicans have grown more emphatic about keeping control. Support for a GOP Congress among registered Republicans climbed from 86% last month to 92% this month.

 

But independents shifted toward the GOP as well, with 37% backing a GOP Congress, up from 30% last month. Support among independents for a Democratic Congress dropped from 49% last month to 41% in October.

 

The IBD/TIPP Poll did find that Democrats have a slight advantage when it comes to enthusiasm about the election. Eighty three percent say they are very or extremely interested in the midterms, compared with 74% for Republicans, and 72% for independents.

 

The IBD/TIPP Poll has been credited as being the most accurate poll in the past four presidential elections, and was one of only two that correctly predicted the outcome of the November 2016 presidential election.

(other Rasmussen)

https://www.investors.com/politics/trump-approval-rating-ibd-tip-poll/

Anonymous ID: 7e6004 Oct. 5, 2018, 6:50 p.m. No.3356620   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>3356495

(follow polls, even though most are meaningless and meant to demoralize/sway opinion)

moar on the polls

they have an average of a 7.2% lead in the "generic"

they need MOAR than 8 or 9 , ~10, to take the house, and even moar to take the hosue and senate

there is no way they can take the senate, and we will gain

but this poll measures, generically, who you would prefer: R or D

there are an equal amount of #'s above ( ) and below ( < ) the average

but the average is DECREASING

we're looking good for a RED WAVE, might even gain in the house

 

but realistically:

we gain in the senate, lose some seats in our majority in the house, but keep the house

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

Anonymous ID: 7e6004 Oct. 5, 2018, 6:57 p.m. No.3356750   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>3356717

(from last bread)

its looking like 50 - 48

50: 49 R's and Manchin

48: 48 D's (without Manchin)

thats 98 total, 2 will not vote:

Murkoski is a "present" and Daines is at a wedding ffs