Anonymous ID: e25270 Nov. 1, 2018, 10:29 p.m. No.3696275   ๐Ÿ—„๏ธ.is ๐Ÿ”—kun   >>6310

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-need-a-systematic-polling-error-to-win-the-senate/

 

All three versions of our forecast give them only about 1 in 7 shot (about 15 percent) of taking over the Senate from Republicans.

 

This is normally the point at which you might expect us to give you a throat-clearing โ€œwell, actuallyโ€ about how 1 in 7 chances happen all the time. Indeed, they do. One in seven days of the week is a Thursday. None of us woke up this morning screaming โ€œOh my gosh, I just canโ€™t believe itโ€™s a Thursday!โ€ And nobody should really be that surprised if Democrats win the Senate next week, or if Republicans keep the House.