Mic drop
WSJ Agrees With Trump: Fed Should Stop Hiking
When President Trump proclaimed that "The Fed has gone crazy," the elites were stunned. When President Trump exclaimed, The Fed "is making a big mistake with ridiculous rate-hikes," the establishment was dumbfounded. And when President claimed that The Fed was his "biggest threat, because rates were rising too fast," the deep state lashed out with 25th Amendment headlines and "Democracy and independence under threat" byelines.
So isn't it just a little ironic that The Wall Street Journal - that bastion of free market capitalism and oracle of financial opinion should admit in its Editorial Board's latest opinion that Trump is right and The Fed needs to slow down on the rate-hikes.
America Is Not An Island
As the world economy slows, Trump and the Fed need to adapt.
President Trump’s biggest achievement has been the revival of faster U.S. economic growth, but past performance is no guarantee of future results. The White House should be worried about growing economic strains in the rest of the world, and policy makers need to prepare. The U.S. is not an island.
For now the American economy and especially the labor market seem strong as tax reform and deregulation unleash animal spirits. But the German economy shrank 0.2% in the latest quarter, the first contraction since 2015. Europe's largest economy will still grow this year, but a trade surplus and negative interest rates aren’t a growth tonic. Europe in general seems to be reverting back to its post-crisis mean of meager growth.
Japan contracted 0.3% in the last quarter, perhaps ending its modest growth spurt. Beijing last month said China’s economy grew a surprisingly slow 6.5% year-on-year in its latest quarter, and that official figure is usually an overstatement.
Some of this is due to such one-time factors as bad weather, but anxious markets are signaling larger concern. German auto exports are weak, and China is trying to sustain growth without adding to its debt overhang. The high-yield bond market has the jimmy legs, and oil prices are down on weaker demand. Even Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, the insouciant one, on Wednesday called events “concerning.”
Add currency shifts to those worry beads, as the U.S. dollar soars. Beijing is trying to stem flight from the yuan, and the pound fell another 1.5% against the dollar on Thursday on Brexit woes. The euro’s decline against the dollar needs particular watching because it’s the world’s most important price and contributes to investment uncertainty. Sharp changes in the euro-dollar rate contributed to the global financial panic in 2008.
European political risks may increase, as Germany could soon gain a new leader and the European Union tries to bludgeon Italy into an anti-growth budget. Prime Minister Theresa May’s government in London is hanging by a thread as she struggles to sell a European Union divorce deal to Parliament.
The world’s fifth-largest economy could crash out of its most important trading relationship with no alternative in place. A disorderly Brexit could also usher in a socialist Labour government led by Jeremy Corbyn, and watch the pound fall if that happens.
All of this is a warning for Mr. Trump and others in Washington: No moat can protect the U.S. economy, and they need to adapt.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-16/wsj-agrees-trump-fed-should-stop-hiking