Researching & in reading Neptune on WL, came across this equation P-5+1 which only explained five U.N. Security Council members plus Germany but not the P…. I’m sure I’m just sleep deprived & scatter brained atm, can someone tell me what the P is for?

Our focus last month was on the emerging crisis with Iran. The crisis has now emerged but is not yet as virulent as it might become. Everyone is maintaining a hopeful stance – even Israel has decided to stay quiet for once. Nevertheless, the indicators continue to be increasingly dangerous, and while it might be possible to evade war, it is becoming more and more difficult to do so. We should add that while many other things are going on in the world, nothing is as significant or can have as much impact on NOV than the Iranian situation. The revelation that Iran had another nuclear enrichment site did not come as a surprise. Iran has created a system of deception designed to decrease the quality of intelligence about its nuclear capabilities and decrease the probability that any single strike could knock out its capacity. The immediate intention is to prevent a solo Israeli strike. Israel does not have the necessary aircraft for an extended, multi-site campaign, even if it had the intelligence. The question of intelligence affects the United States as well. Intelligence is always the biggest question mark in any military operation, and nowhere is it bigger than here. If Iran has two sites for enrichment, could it have four? How many sites exist for other components? How well engineered are the sites? What sort of munition would be needed to destroy the facility? Iran has systematically raised the uncertainty in order to deter attack. To understand why the United States has held back under former U.S. President George W. Bush and current U.S. President Barack Obama, it is important to understand that the strike is very complex. That actually is a strong argument for containing the crisis. It is also why the Iranians are so confident. From their point of view, a successful airstrike is unlikely, and an attack would rally the country around Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Now, the Iranians can’t know how good U.S. intelligence actually is or how confident Obama is in that intelligence. In the end, the Iranians are betting on their own skills at deception and engineering, but there remains a lingering doubt. Therefore, we are in a crisis in which the pivotal question is the quality of U.S. intelligence, and both sides are placing uncertain bets on that. Neither side is eager to flip over the card and find out, although the Iranians either bluff better or feel more confident than the Americans. Either way, the Iranians are pushing extremely hard, trying to stretch out the negotiations and split the P-5+1 (the five U.N. Security Council members plus Germany). The Iranians will do this by relying on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which has only limited access to the facilities – but far more than in the past – and will inspect facilities this month. The goal will be to keep the IAEA from determining the full scope of Iran’s nuclear program while showing sufficient forward momentum that those players in the P-5+1 who are inclined to block action anyway will be able to argue that, while slow, progress is being made. Therefore, neither sanctions nor military action are justified at this time. If Iran can pull this off, it can buy an enormous amount of time. Israel is officially silent, but an article that appeared in the London Times on Sunday, Oct. 4, quoted Israeli officials as saying that the reason for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s trip to Moscow last month was to deliver a list of Russian scientists that Israel has identified as working in Iran. In other words, Israel is charging Russia with aiding the Iranian nuclear program. We tend to take this report seriously. Therefore, this crisis could readily escalate into a U.S.-Russian crisis. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is traveling to Moscow this month and it has been made clear that she will not be meeting with 2

https://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/29/296506_neptune-final-doc-and-pdf-meredith-korena-.html