Q asks what the odds are, because that is one way to deal with coincidences for many that deal in statistics and standard deviations, but there are other ways Q deals with coincidences as well
like context, the intent of the players, psychological patterns like projection, narcissism,etc.
Q also uses the analysis by mirrors, and disinformation/misinformation and logic
but your analysis is shallow and dogmatic, because it uses only a few of the available tools that Q employs