>>4471433 (LB)
I've seen this before, but I don't recall when. It's been a while, late spring-ish. Maybe it was linked in one of those FBIAnon graphics? Dunno for sure.
By now, nothing about her surprises me, and certainly all of Trump's actions the past 2 years seem to indicate something of this scale was going on. And of course, he knows all of it.
Monica Bellucci.
>4471536
Ok, reading some of the replies on the Montana_Bound thread it looks like this is from FBI Anon AMA series from last year, or at least, there are comments indicating a lot of similar language. Montana_Bound replied that maybe it's the same guy?
What's interesting is the source is supposedly some guy that retired from DoD.
Exactly. I hinted but did not expound to this level - well said. When you constrain your "hits" to a small pool, as you note, you're ignoring all of the misses that drive your actual success rate to near 0.
Humans are funny like this, we naturally do that all the time. I play pool and I regularly point out to my players that kicks and banks are low-probability shots, the lowest on the table behind combination shots. They always tell me "naw, I'm good at them." They forget the 100 times they miss, and only remember the 1 time they made it. They think 1% shots are worth the risk, when I'm telling them 20% shots aren't even worth it unless you have no choice. I digress…