Too soon to tell, several ATC handoffs still to come. PHX, LAS, LAX are all potentials.
Just based on jetways he's followed. If you turn that layer on, you can see he followed them all the way across the US. Even though it's military, pretty sure he still has to be under positive ATC.
Correct, watch for his altitude to change 20 to 30 miles from Vegas, if he stays high he's probably going to the coast.