Anonymous ID: c664c2 Feb. 21, 2019, 7:42 a.m. No.5303024   ๐Ÿ—„๏ธ.is ๐Ÿ”—kun

US Housing Market In Freefall As New Buyers Can't Afford A Home

 

After NAHB's optimism rebounded sharply earlier this week, all eyes are on this morning's existing home sales data for any signs of optimism. Alas, with consensus expecting a tiny rebounding in January following December's sharp drop, the deterioration in the US home market continued continued, and January existing home unexpectedly dropped 1.2% (exp. +0.2%), to 4.94 million, missing expectations of a rebound to 5.00 million.

 

fter December's revision higher to 5.00 million, the January SAAR of 4.94 million was the first sub-5MM print since 2015, while the parallel pending home sales series confirms even more weakness is in store.

 

Needless to say, it is very troubling that Americans are unable to afford home purchases with the 30% mortgage at just 4.5%, and suggests that even if inflation picks up, the Fed may have no choice but to keep rates flat to avoid a housing market crash.

 

As usual, NAR chief economist Larry Yun was optimistic, saying that he does not expect the numbers to decline further going forward. "Existing home sales in January were weak compared to historical norms; however, they are likely to have reached a cyclical low. Moderating home prices combined with gains in household income will boost housing affordability, bringing more buyers to the market in the coming months."

 

One wonders what "gains in household income" he is talking about.

 

Meanwhile, properties are failing to sell as the slowdown spreads: Properties remained on the market for an average of 49 days in January, up from 46 days in December and 42 days a year ago. Thirty-eight percent of homes sold in January were on the market for less than a month.

 

Still, despite the ongoing slowdown, or perhaps adding to it, the median existing-home price rose once again, hitting $247,500, up 2.8% from January 2018 ($240,800). Januaryโ€™s price increase marks the 83rd straight month of year-over-year gains.

 

Regional breakdown:

 

January existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 2.9 percent to an annual rate of 700,000, 1.4 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $270,000, which is up 0.4 percent from January 2018.

 

Midwest, existing-home sales fell 2.5 percent from last month to an annual rate of 1.16 million in January, down 7.9 percent overall from a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $189,700, which is up 1.4 percent from last year.

Existing-home sales in the South dropped 1.0 percent to an annual rate of 2.08 million in January, down 8.4 percent from last year. The median price in the South was $214,800, up 2.5 percent from a year ago.

 

Existing-home sales in the West dipped 2.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.00 million in January, 13.8 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $374,600, up 2.9 percent from January 2018.

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-02-21/existing-home-sales-crash-accelerates-buyers-cant-afford-house

Anonymous ID: c664c2 Feb. 21, 2019, 7:57 a.m. No.5303264   ๐Ÿ—„๏ธ.is ๐Ÿ”—kun

https://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/1447669.htm

 

Pretty decent size chunk of registered shares

 

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https://www.marketscreener.com/TWILIO-INC-28734706/company/

Anonymous ID: c664c2 Feb. 21, 2019, 8:06 a.m. No.5303388   ๐Ÿ—„๏ธ.is ๐Ÿ”—kun

Facebook accounts for most of it

https://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/1326801.htm

 

Twatter

https://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/1418091.htm

 

SQ

https://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/1512673.htm