What are the odds that Q posts at the same time as POTUS?
For simplicity lets assume that POTUS tweets 10 times per day, at roughly 1 post per hour, in a 10 hour window.
In other words:
Your chance of posting 1 minute before trump is 1 in 60 or 1.67% chance
Your chance of posting 20 seconds before trump is 20 in 3600 or 0.54% chance
Your chance of posting 10 seconds before trump is 10 in 3600 or 0.27% chance
what about multiple times in a row? Just multiply the values together:
two times in a row at 1 minute before? 1/60 * 1/60 or 0.027% chance
two times in a row at 10 seconds before? 10/3600 * 10/3600 or 0.00077% chance
three times in a row at 1 minute before? 0.00046% chance
three times in a row at 10 seconds before? 0.0000021% chance
If you factory workers or engineers are familiar with 6 sigma process, 6 sigma is used to ensure no defects ever occur. 6sigma is equal to 99.99966%, which assumes success in all conditions → That means, the chance of failure (to be considered success) is less than 0.00033%
In other words, it only takes a few times in a row to make it statistically impossible to be a coincidence
(i'm continuing to refine it, please change or take as you see fit)