US Futures Drift Lower As Chinese Stocks Extend Worst Drop Of 2019
US equity futures and European bourses drifted lower, failing to carry over Asian optimism into Monday trading, while Chinese stocks extended the worst weekly loss of 2019 with another 0.8% drop to start the week despite profits at Chinese industrial firms growing for the first time in four months and a strong GDP print, if only superficially, on Friday. Most European markets were mostly in the red, with Italy sliding despite S&P reaffirming Italy's BBB rating late on Friday, while the dollar rose alongside US Treasury yields, while the yen slumped as Japan remains closed for a week-long holiday.
The MSCI All-Country World Index was flat after the start of European trading, lifted higher by Asian markets (ex China) but pressured by poor European trading. After rising initially, the Stoxx 600 dropped to session lows while the Spain’s IBEX 35 index underperformed peers, down over half a percent after Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez overcame a challenge from nationalists in elections on Sunday. The elections had little immediate impact on the country’s bond market. Shares in Italian banks got a boost and Italian government bonds rallied after S&P Global affirmed Italy’s sovereign credit rating.
Also in Europe, the ECB reported that Eurozone credit growth decelerated markedly despite decent M3 growth, as loan growth to firms decreased to 3.5% in March from 3.8% in Feb, while loans to households stood at 3.2% in March, down from 3.3% in Feb.
Earlier in the session, a similar see-saw pattern was observed in Chinese stocks, which initially moved higher but closed near session lows, down 0.8% after losing 5.6% last week, the worst of 2019.
The latest Chinese data showed industrial profits grew in March after four months of contraction, but analysts said sentiment remained fragile. Economists polled by Reuters expect factory activity in the world’s second largest economy to grow at a steady but modest pace in April.
Market Snapshot
S&P 500 futures down 0.1% at 2,939
STOXX Europe 600 up 0.1% to 391.55
MXAP up 0.3% to 162.56
MXAPJ up 0.5% to 540.49
Nikkei down 0.2% to 22,258.73
Topix down 0.2% to 1,617.93
Hang Seng Index up 1% to 29,892.81
Shanghai Composite down 0.8% to
3,062.50
Sensex up 0.9% to 39,067.33
Australia S&P/ASX 200 down 0.4% to
6,359.49
Kospi up 1.7% to 2,216.43
German 10Y yield rose 1.5 bps to -0.007%
Euro up 0.07% to $1.1159
Brent Futures down 0.7% to $71.67/bbl
Italian 10Y yield fell 10.3 bps to 2.213%
Spanish 10Y yield fell 1.9 bps to 1.005%
Brent Futures down 0.7% at $71.67/bbl
Gold spot down 0.4% at $1,281.70
U.S. Dollar Index down 0.02% at 97.98
US Event (data) Calendar
8:30am: Personal Income, est. 0.4%, prior
0.2%
8:30am: Personal Spending, est. 0.7%; Real
Personal Spending, est. 0.3%
8:30am: PCE Deflator MoM, est. 0.3%; PCE
Deflator YoY, est. 1.6%
8:30am: PCE Core Deflator MoM, est. 0.1%;
PCE Core Deflator YoY, est. 1.7%
10:30am: Dallas Fed Manf. Activity, est. 10,
prior 8.3
In commodities, Brent (-0.9%) and WTI (-0.5%) prices are subdued in reaction to US President Trump’s comments on Friday that he contacted OPEC and told them to lower oil prices; although, there were subsequent reports that OPEC or Saudi officials have not spoken to President Trump regarding oil prices. However, some of the downside was mitigated by the Baker Hughes total rig count which fell by 21, with oil rigs falling by 20 to 805 in the steepest decline since January. Regarding the Iranian waivers a Trump Official says there is no wind down period or short-term waiver being considered for China’s oil purchases from Iran, and that it should be easy for China to comply as business with the US is more important for them than Iran. Elsewhere, sources report that exports of Nigeria’s Amenam crude oil is currently under a force majeure; these exports are operated by Total and typically equal 100k BPD. Gold (-0.3%) is marginally weaker, although the yellow metal is trading within a relatively narrow USD 5/oz range. After the metal printed its biggest daily gain in over a month on Friday, following US data which was disappointing in-spite of the larger than expected headline GDP print of 3.2%. Elsewhere, China’s Iron and Steel association stated that the industry is at risk from excess capacity which could impact profits in the industry.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-04-29/us-futures-drift-lower-chinese-stocks-extend-worst-drop-2019
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y?countrycode=bx/futures
https://www.dailyfx.com/crude-oil