here is the current watch released over NC

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0300.html

Here is current spc mesoscale analysis

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17

Current forecast discussion for NWS Wakefield

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=AKQ&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

I would recommend reading your local NWS forecast discussions to get a better understanding on how they are using different computer models and along with upper air data to forecast sorry I have to go but I will continue this later >>6639492