China's warhead totals are not fully known as a result of military secrecy, but Ashley said the estimate is that the current arsenal includes "low, couple hundred" warheads.
Other estimates have put the number of warheads hidden in underground bunkers to be from several hundred to as many as a thousand.
China's nuclear forces are shrouded in secrecy and include a network of nuclear storage and production facilities dubbed the Great Underground Wall that is estimated to be some 3,000 miles long.
The DIA director also stated, in a setback for arms control advocates who have pushed for U.S. ratification of a nuclear test ban treaty, that intelligence indicates both China and Russia have facilities and have conducted small nuclear tests in apparent violation of a commitment to zero nuclear tests under the 1996 Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, or CTBT.
Asked if Chinese nuclear modernization is not in compliance with CTBT curbs, Ashley said: "That's our belief in terms of what we're seeing with the testing regime."
China's military is attempting to rapidly advance its nuclear forces, which in the past were limited. The first Chinese mobile intercontinental-range missile was deployed around 2000, he said.
"So part of that rapid growth is because the capability did not exist in the kind of capacity that Russia or the U.S. has had in the past," Ashely said. "So that has been a significant investment that they've made in terms of them catching up [with] capacity over the course of the last 15 years."
China's new strategic arms include a new road-mobile ICBM, a new multi-warhead variant of its silo-based ICBMs, and new submarine-launched ballistic missiles.
The Chinese also are building a new strategic bomber that will give Beijing its first triad of weapons—land-based, sea-based, and bomber-delivered strike weapons.
Ashley said the buildup shows "China's commitment to expanding the role and centrality of nuclear forces in Beijing's military aspirations."
Its forces also include nuclear-tipped short-range precision strike weapons similar to those being developed by the Russians.
"While China's overall arsenal is assessed to be much smaller than Russia's, that does not make this trend any less concerning," Ashley said.
China has announced it will not be the first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict and also would not use nuclear arms against non-nuclear states.
Ashely, however, said the no-first-use policy is questionable.
"But at the end of the day if something becomes an existential threat, it's difficult to say that [using nuclear weapons first] would not become something in their decision calculus because they have not specifically stated it," he said.
China is also increasing the reliance in their strategy on using nuclear weapons.
"And it's not just in the nuclear," he said. "If you look at all the domains, what they have done in terms of modernizing the military across aviation, and a big area not the subject of this topic is really the space/counterpace aspect of how the Chinese are approaching warfighting from every domain. But there is a significant investment in their nuclear forces."
Of their main nuclear testing facility, known as Lop Nur, in western China, Ashley revealed the Chinese are preparing to operate the site year round—an indication of "China's growing goals for its nuclear forces."
Also, China has continued to conduct tests using explosive containment chambers at its nuclear test site and Chinese leaders in the past joined Russia in watering down language in a declaration by nuclear weapons states that undermined a widely understood concept of "zero yield" nuclear tests.
"The combination of these facts and China's lack of transparency on their nuclear testing activities raise questions as to whether China could achieve such progress without activities inconsistent with the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty," Ashley said.
Russian covert underground testing is part of the overall nuclear modernization program.
The small underground nuclear tests have been detected as early as 1996 at a facility in northern Russia called Novaya Zemlya. The testing violations at the time were covered up by the State Department during the administration of President Bill Clinton. The department claimed there were no CTBT violations by Moscow.
Ashley also said that, in addition to the nuclear modernization, both China and Russia are developing weapons based on advanced and emerging technology with the potential to "revolutionize undersea warfare and challenge U.S. superiority in the maritime domain."
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https://freebeacon.com/national-security/dia-china-doubling-nuclear-warhead-arsenal/