Here is my Q, pun intended.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0nERTFo-Sk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTQnarzmTOc
Those should be watched by anyone who does not get what the status qua is and how the flow in the economy is controlled.
The problem with these video's is they assume it's a difference of opinion. That has never been the case, just take a look at where we are now.
All of life you could set your watch by it, 7 year itch, what ever you call it. Nixon closed the gold window, 79-80 recession, 87, 94-94 S&L, dot com and 08.
QE changed that, no 15-16, something changed. The problem you have now is QE blew the bubble, and it does not matter if the fed jacks rates to slow the economy for 2020, or lowers rates and sets off a panic. All they need is the trigger.
I would look for that trigger this fall, labor day weekend will be the time to watch, that is the play book and it would roll into year end.
Form follows function, and monetary policy is by design, not a difference of opinion.
The problem is Trump loves debt, he understands with devalued capital, the money doesn't matter it's the flow.
Can you get Trump on board for what would benefit the little guy and prevent someone from doing exactly what he did?
Or are we just getting with the trend in Japan and EU where the devaluation is put on steroids and interest rates go negative?
Either way fear the Bust.