Trust me when I say you don't want to be labelled domestic terrorists…but as long as you're having fun, f*ck it. #WWG1WGA
NOTABLE!!!
That's exactly what I'm saying. You don't want to be labelled a domestic terrorist. Sucks.
>8fd466
Letter from Dan Coats in Comey Tweet
(Known FF route)
I believe the letter is referring to this document:
https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Newsroom/Reports%20and%20Pubs/2025_Global_Trends_Final_Report.pdf
Global Trends 2025:
A Transformed World
Global Trends 2025:
A Transformed World
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, US Government Printing Office
Internet:
bookstore.gpo.gov
Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC area (202) 512-1800;
Fax: (202) 512-2104; Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington DC 20402-0001
ISBN 978-0-16-081834-9
To view electronic version:
www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
November 2008 (Time Obama Won 1st time)
NIC 2008-003
We prepared
Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World
to stimulate strategic
thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where
they seem to be headed, and how they might interact. It uses scenarios to illustrate some
of the many ways in which the drivers examined in the study (e.g., globalization,
demography, the rise of new powers, the decay of international institutions, climate
change, and the geopolitics of energy) may interact to generate challenges and
opportunities for future decisionmakers. The study as a whole is more a description of
the factors likely to shape events than a prediction of what will actually happen.
…
Many people contributed to the preparation of
Global Trends 2025
, but no one
contributed more than did Mathew Burrows. His intellectual gifts and managerial
abilities were critical to the production of this report and everyone involved owes him a
huge debt of gratitude. Mat’s own note of appreciation on the following page lists others
who made especially noteworthy contributions. Many others also made important
contributions. We could not have produced this edition of
Global Trends
without the
support of everyone who participated and we are deeply grateful for the partnerships and
the friendships that facilitated and resulted from this collaborative effort.
i
Contents
Page
Executive Summary
vi
Introduction: A Transformed World
More Change than Continuity
Alternative Futures
1
3
3
Chapter 1: The Globalizing Economy
Back to the Future
Growing Middle Class
State Capitalism: A Post-Democratic Marketplace Rising in the East?
Bumpy Ride in Correcting Current Global Imbalances
Multiple Financial Nodes
Diverging Development Models, but for How Long?
6
7
8
8
11
12
13
Chapter 2: The Demographics of Discord
Populations Growing, Declining, and Diversifying—at the Same Time
The Pensioner Boom: Challenges of Aging Populations
Persistent Youth Bulges
Changing Places: Migration, Urbanization, and Ethnic Shifts
Demographic Portraits: Russia, China, India, and Iran
18
19
21
21
23
24
Chapter 3: The New Players
Rising Heavyweights: China and India
Other Key Players
Up-and-Coming Powers
Global Scenario I: A World Without the West
Global Scenario II: October Surprise
Chapter 5: Growing Potential for Conflict
Terrorism: Good and Bad News
Global Scenario III: BRICs’ Bust-Up
Global Scenario IV: Politics is Not Always Local
iii
Textboxes:
The 2025 Global Landscape
Comparison Between
Mapping the Global Future:
Report of the Intelligence
Council’s 2020 Project
and
Global Trends 2025
:
A Transformed World
2
Long-Range Projections: A Cautionary Tale
5
Globalization at Risk with the 2008 Financial Crisis?
10
Science and Technology Leadership: A Test for the Emerging Powers
13
Latin America: Moderate Economic Growth, Continued Urban Violence
15
Women as Agents of Geopolitical Change
16
Higher Education Shaping the Global Landscape in 2025
17
The Impact of HIV/AIDS
23
Muslims in Western Europe
25
Timing is Everything
44
Winners and Losers in a Post-Petroleum World
46
Technology Breakthroughs by 2025
47
Two Climate Change Winners
52
Strategic Implications of an Opening Arctic
53
Sub-Saharan Africa: More Interactions with the World and More Troubled
56
A Non-nuclear Korea?
62
Middle East/North Africa: Economics Drives Change, but with Major Risk
of Turmoil
65
Energy Security
66
Another Use of Nuclear Weapons?
6
Why al-Qa’ida’s “Terrorist Wave” Might Be Breaking Up
The Changing Character of Conflict
7
End of Ideology?
73
Potential Emergence of a Global Pandemic
7
Greater Regionalism—Plus or Minus for Global Governance?
83
Proliferating Identities and Growing Intolerance?
86
Future of Democracy: Backsliding More Likely than Another Wave
87
Anti-Americanism on the Wane?
95