THE IMPEACHMENT VOTE IS NOT GUARANTEED
Here's why.
The democrats need 218 votes for impeachment, and they have 233 democrats in congress with 1 independent who would likely vote for impeachment (234 essentially). The republicans have 197.
31 of those democrats are in a district that Trump won. Assuming every republican votes against impeachment, the democrats will FAIL to impeach Trump if at least 17 of these democrats vote against impeachment.
TWO democrats even voted against the inquiry. The vote for the inquiry and a vote to impeach are NOT the same thing politically, and it's plausible some or many of these vulnerable democrats could vote against impeachment.
These are democrats in districts Trump won:
>Rep. Tom O’Halleran (AZ-01)
>Rep. Lucy McBath (GA-06)
>Rep. Lauren Underwood (IL-14)
>Rep. Cheri Bustos (IL-17)
>Rep. Abby Finkenauer (IA-07)
>Rep. Dave Loebsack (IA-02)
>Rep. Cindy Axne (IA-03)
>Rep. Jared Golden (ME-02)
>Rep. Elissa Slotkin (MI-08)
>Rep. Haley Stevens (MI-11)
>Rep. Angie Craig (MN-02)
>Rep. Collin Peterson (MN-07)*
>Rep. Susie Lee (NV-03)
>Rep. Chris Pappas (NH-01)
>Rep. Jefferson Van Drew (NJ-02)*
>Rep. Andy Kim (NJ-03)
>Rep. Josh Gottheimer (NJ-05)
>Rep. Mikie Sherrill (NJ-11)
>Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (NM-02)
>Rep. Max Rose (NY-11)
>Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (NY-18)
>Rep. Antonio Delgado (NY-19)
>Rep. Anthony Brindisi (NY-22)
>Rep. Kendra Horn (OK-05)
>Rep. Matt Cartwright (PA-08)
>Rep. Conor Lamb (PA-17)
>Rep. Joe Cunningham (SC-01)
>Rep. Ben McAdams (UT-04)
>Rep. Elaine Luria (VA-02)
>Rep. Abigail Spanberger (VA-07)
>Rep. Ron Kind (WI-03)
*Voted AGAINST the inquiry
Sauce for 31 democrats:
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/434113-the-31-trump-districts-that-will-determine-the-next-house-majority
Sauce for two who voted against the inquiry:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/who-broke-ranks-on-impeachment-resolution-vote
Some anons think it's "good" for Trump to be impeached because the Senate can then 'introduce evidence' and that this is part of the plan.
I disagree. The Senate can call the same witnesses regardless of if Trump had been impeached, and this is not part of the plan
The charges against Trump are likely going to be "abuse of power" and "obstruction of congress". Abuse of power is refuted by the facts, and Turley refuted obstruction easily.
The democrats in these Trump districts are vulnerable! If they vote for this, they basically will lose. So, EITHER WAY, this would be a good meme war because if they don't vote, Trump isn't impeached.
But if anons and others make clear to them if they vote they will be voted out, and they STILL vote, then we'll take back the house!
CALLING ALL MEMEFAGS, THIS IS PART OF THE 2020 MEME WAR.
LET US MEME THIS INTO REALITY.