It should be the 3rd in the calculation, not the 4th.
https://www.rt.com/news/477444-iraq-militia-us-strike/
hmmm
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-bushfires-firestorms/authorities-warn-australian-bushfires-developing-their-own-weather-systems-idUSKBN1Z3077?il=0
https://www.rt.com/news/477444-iraq-militia-us-strike/