This IRGC ~~baker~~ agent missed a few important posts~
Ukrainian Plane crash Flight PS752 OSINT
MAJOR UPDATE
Trump just now during NEPA meeting:
"Terrible… Well, I have my suspicions. I don't want to say that, because other people have those suspicions also. It's a tragic thing when I see that, it's a tragic thing… but someone could've made a mistake - on the other side - could've made a mistake. It was flying in a pretty rough neighborhood and someone could've made a mistake. Some people say it was mechanical, I personally don't think that's even a question.''
…
"At some point they'll release the black box, ideally they'd get it to Boeing but if they gave it to France or if they gave it to some other country that would be OK too. I think ideally that will be released. I have a feeling, that.. something very terrible happened. Very devistating.''
US officials are confident Ukrainian Flt 752 was shot down by Iran. US intelligence picked up signals of the radar being turned on & satellite detected infrared blips of 2 missile launches, probably SA-15s, followed shortly by another infrared blip of an explosion.
MAJOR UPDATE
Thread comparing images of the engine to previous catastrophic engine failures
https://mobile.twitter.com/HeshmatAlavi/status/1215028282980229125
Great blog post about known details here
https://feitoffake.wordpress.com/2020/01/08/what-caused-the-crash-of-ukraine-international-boeing-737-near-tehran/
Highlights:
>An Ukraine International Boeing 737-800 crashed minutes after take-off from Tehran International airport killing all 167 passengers and 9 crew (Iran – 82, Canada – 63, Ukraine – 2 + 9 (crew), Sweden – 10m Afghanistan – 4m Germany – 3, United Kingdom – 3)
>Flight data showed the aircraft registered UR-PSR took off wednesday morning, then stopped sending data , according to website FlightRadar24. Two minutes and 24 seconds elapsed between the first airborne transmission (at about 350′ AAL) and the last received at FL80.
>The aircraft crashed at an open field near Parand 35.560357, 51.104671 , a surbub of Tehran. About 10nm east of the last transponder position . The last transponder position was N35.52 E50.91.
>After the aircraft did not send the transponder signal it made a right turn before crashing. It is not sure if the pilot wanted to return to the airport or that that aircraft could not be controled anymore.
<The plane had been last serviced two days before the accident, according to the airline.
<A video made of the aircraft shows the aircraft is in their air but on fire. Some parts of the aircraft which are on fire seem to separate from the aircraft.
<The man in this video says the right handside of the aircraft until the tail was on fire.
[Eye Witness Testimony in mentioned video]
https://mobile.twitter.com/Ruptly/status/1214874592386392064
Starts @ 0.56/2.40
"Right side of the airplane and the end of it were completely on fire. I think the pilot strived a lot not to hit the residential houses. Exactly approximately twenty or thirty meters after the houses, the plane crashed in Laleh Park and destroyed those fences of the soccer pitch and it took off again. A man who had been waiting to become a martyr and he could finally achieve his dream and then exploded in that vast area and burnt ultimately. This whole 500 to 600 meter path is all the dead bodies that were completely destroyed."
https://mobile.twitter.com/GaryGnutter/status/1214941901746556934
Dropped some pins to military installations nearby. Missile hit would probably have been on right side..
I Gathered some nearby military bases to map. Flight delayed, Air defence in high alert few hours after Iran missile strikes I don't believe in coincidence.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ELINTNews/status/1214973468107845638
"Very interesting, but unconfirmed find. Potential SA-15 SAM fragment found in vicinity of Ukrainian airliner crash site in Iran. All still uncertain and non-conclusive though. But keep an eye on this space."
OSINT re: pictures and (very possible) damage from SAM [Continuing verification]
https://mobile.twitter.com/bellingcat/status/1214923462726291456
Current Conclusion:
An IRGC SAM shot down the civilian airplane.
Eye witness account suggests via "A man who had been waiting to become a martyr and he could finally achieve his dream" that a he knew it was an act of war (Very possible he heard, confirmed with several other witness accounts, the missile being launched).
Their state media claims 'engine failure'.
They're lying to cover their war crime.