hear me out anon. The time between first contact —-→ contagion—–→ Symptoms does not add up for this corona Virus.
I'm going to site a few example The first case in Chicago and one case that just happen 2 day ago in eastern Russia.
The Guy from Chicago went back from China in early December. And he only began to show symptoms two weak ago….. This mean that in his case he was asymptomatic for at least 3 week!!!!
For tree week that guy was a carrier and a transmitter of the virus for God know how long!
Now let's talk about that other case in Eastern Russia that was flagged two day ago.
https://russia.liveuamap.com/en/2020/23-january-one-suspected-patient-for-new-coronavirus-infection
>Medics placed a passenger who arrived in Magadan from the Republic of Korea in an infectious hospital with a suspected coronavirus, Elena Kuzmenko, the chief freelance infectious agent of the Ministry of Health of Magadan region, told RIA Novosti.
Now let expand our thinking. That guy was infected in south Korea. and he is now showing symptoms.
this man was infected in SK around the 25 of December 2019. This mean that just by randomly being in SK for a month on Vacation he catch the virus!!! This mean that very probably we will see the number of case explode exponentially all around south-east Asia in a week??
So from time of infection to contagion, there is only one variable I still can't figure out. Are patient contagious for a week before showing symptoms? is it days?