The half chan site has ongoing, global nCoV data that is surprisingly expansive and up-to-the-minute.
The report from yesterday - 1/31 - from Lancet - thelancet.com - poses an alarming analysis based upon 41 cases.
R0 of 2.68
75,000 infected in Wuhan.
Doubling time 6.4 days.
" … already growing exponentially in multiple cities in china with lagtime of 1 to 2 weeks behind Wuhan.
Sobering stuff.
Half chan site has exceptionally informative threads on this.
Press conference from Hong Kong's Dr. Leung from a few days ago stresses in no uncertain terms that a global pandemic is incoming absent an already-too-late global lockdown.
I wish more people were aware of this bitch's traitorous history.
It is all right there in the public domain.
Actually, a female Thai national died of nCoV the other day in a Calcutta (now Kolkata) hospital.
The 14 day, asymptomatic incubation period is VERY serious.
This is coupled with the 'scalar shedding' nature of the virus during this time.
ALL the prominently reported Chinese cases are from the PNEUMONIA cases, NOT the nCoV cases which are now in the hundreds of thousands and expanding exponentially.
The onset is upper respiratory infection (5 to 14 days after Zero day infection).
Lower respiratory infection could then follow (numbers unclear) which then can lead to ICU treatment, cytokine storm or feeble recovery depending upon many factors.
Morbidity rate for pneumonia cases is very high.
R0 factor is 2.64 according to yesterday's Lancet analysis. Big, big trouble.