notable
Professor Gabriel Leung, China public health, provides outbreak analysis 1/26/2020
>421f44
ty anon. Don't think you're shilling after reading all posts.
This is interesting. Stating Wuhan hasn't peaked yet. Other cities from the hub will be 1-2 week lag for their peaks.
Seed cases are causing new local epidemics in other cities.
Population quarantine is having a limited impact on the outbreak and spread (not highly effective).
Doubles every 6 days.
As of 1/25 Chinese NY Day
25-26K clinically apparent cases, and inclusive of those asymptomatic and incubating place at approx 44K.
Working hard to contain within mainland China.
Self-sustaining chains of person to person transmission are proving to be self-sustaining local epidemics, and also seed sufficient number in overseas ports, which have potential to trigger local epidemics there.
This is NOT a prediction of global pandemic at this point, but certainly a possibility.
Still only 1/2 way into video, but very interesting.
Suggesting more draconian measures (cancellation of mass gatherings, cancelling schools, etc.).
Also discussing mitigation measures developed during SARS, etc.