Anonymous ID: c0acae Feb. 3, 2020, 3:21 a.m. No.8009603   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>9610 >>9616 >>9651 >>9671 >>9682 >>9705 >>9715

>>8009342

notable

Professor Gabriel Leung, China public health, provides outbreak analysis 1/26/2020

 

>421f44

ty anon. Don't think you're shilling after reading all posts.

 

This is interesting. Stating Wuhan hasn't peaked yet. Other cities from the hub will be 1-2 week lag for their peaks.

Seed cases are causing new local epidemics in other cities.

Population quarantine is having a limited impact on the outbreak and spread (not highly effective).

Doubles every 6 days.

 

As of 1/25 Chinese NY Day

25-26K clinically apparent cases, and inclusive of those asymptomatic and incubating place at approx 44K.

 

Working hard to contain within mainland China.

Self-sustaining chains of person to person transmission are proving to be self-sustaining local epidemics, and also seed sufficient number in overseas ports, which have potential to trigger local epidemics there.

 

This is NOT a prediction of global pandemic at this point, but certainly a possibility.

 

Still only 1/2 way into video, but very interesting.

 

Suggesting more draconian measures (cancellation of mass gatherings, cancelling schools, etc.).

Also discussing mitigation measures developed during SARS, etc.

Anonymous ID: c0acae Feb. 3, 2020, 3:29 a.m. No.8009626   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>9631

>>8009161

Read all BDAnon material, think glossed over that.

 

Ok, given you've been at this a bit and seem up to speed, what do you recommend for anons to do? At our homes and in our communities?

Apart from Trump/Officials freaking everyone out, what to do personally?

Anonymous ID: c0acae Feb. 3, 2020, 3:41 a.m. No.8009651   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>9671 >>9705 >>9715

>>8009610

>>8009610

>Funny how the sky isn't falling after all

>Is it?

If you read between the line, it sort of is falling.

 

>>8009603

This Professor is predicting it will likely become global.

Here, question about HongKong, then CNN comes on w/ question couple mins later in:

https://youtu.be/aYyH4N8VXvA?t=3973

 

Discussing Hong Kong, discussion is to prepare for the worst scenario as a precautionary measure. Talking about how to keep supply chains open so food can be brought in. How to deal with epidemic if supply chains interrupted.

 

Question about international concern:

https://youtu.be/aYyH4N8VXvA?t=4144

Criterion about how to determine if a fake. And "fake" committee members.

Epidemiological modeling teams are coming to similar conclusions as this Prof.

He's being careful not to project beyond what is known, and also that models are based on limited intervention / implementation of draconian measures.

 

>>8009631

ty anon. We dose w/ Elderberry as well, which can help. I just avoided flu and 3 others in house had it hard, spouseanon was in bed 1wk and another week of exhaustion after fever broke. I also dose w/ garlic, vit C, and zinc a good bit.

Anonymous ID: c0acae Feb. 3, 2020, 3:52 a.m. No.8009682   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>8009610

>Did ya read…

 

Some open questions still being learned are the degree of viral shedding while only mildly symptomatic. This will be key for rate of spread given detection.

 

https://youtu.be/aYyH4N8VXvA?t=4761

Talking of paper done 10yrs ago when numbers explode and become overwhelming.

This guy knows his shit, even talking about the capacity for testing with reagent availability / supply.

 

SARS - virtually zero asymptomatic cases.

MERS - more like other common respiratory viruses, large 'submerged part of the clinical iceberg'.

Still open question for coronovirus, but he feels it leans more to the MERS side than SARS.

 

Question is how viral shedding scales with symptoms. They are studying this now with sub-populations, and it's a critical knowledge-gap. Major focus right now around the world, to establish this more clearly.

>>8009603