dChan
Anonymous ID: a1a943 March 1, 2020, 3:17 p.m. No.8294888   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>4951 >>5146

>>8294844

 

This is becoming undeniable.

 

All the states Trump lost in 2016 except the 5 states Virginia, Maine, Nevada, New Hampshire and Minnesota have already enacted laws to award all their electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote.

 

Without third-party candidates, he may actually win all 5 of these anyway.

 

And 3 of those 5, Virginia, New Hampshire and Minnesota are in the process of passing national popular vote laws.

 

That only leaves Maine and Nevada for Trump to pick up in 2020 in order to win all 538 electoral College votes, if he wins the national popular vote.

 

But that's impossible, right? Actually, it might be quite easy.

 

Scenario #1: Trump wins with 50.3% of the national popular vote

  1. Hillary will again be the Democrat nominee

  2. Give all Gary Johnson and Evan McMuffin's 2016 votes to Trump

  3. Give all Jill Stein's 2016 votes to Hillary

  4. Split all other votes between Trump and Hillary

  5. No drop in enthusiasm or turnout for either candidate

  6. Trump wins Maine, Nevada and all states he won in 2016

  7. Virginia, New Hampshire and Minnesota pass national popular vote laws

  8. Trump wins all 538 electoral College votes

 

Scenario #2: Trump wins with 54.7% of the vote

  1. Scenario #2 builds on Scenario #1

  2. Hillary will again be the Democrat nominee

  3. Enthusiasm for Hillary drops by 6 million votes

  4. Enthusiasm for Trump increases by 6 million votes

  5. Trump wins Maine, Nevada and all states he won in 2016

  6. Virginia, New Hampshire and Minnesota pass national popular vote laws

  7. Trump wins all 538 electoral College votes

 

Scenario #3: Trump wins with 60.6% of the vote

  1. Scenario #3 builds on Scenario #2

  2. Hillary will again be the Democrat nominee

  3. DHS/NSA prevent 8 million electronic voting machine votes being flipped

  4. Trump wins Maine, Nevada and all states he won in 2016

  5. Virginia, New Hampshire and Minnesota pass national popular vote laws

  6. Trump wins all 538 electoral College votes

 

Note: The enthusiasm gap is assumed to be due to 1) Trump's economic performance as president, 2) Hillary's low profile and likeability quotient, and 3) Much lower social media company involvement in electioneering (Google is accused of switching up to 10 million votes to Hillary through electioneering search results alone)

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_elections

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election

 

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/08/on-election-day-most-voters-use-electronic-or-optical-scan-ballots/