>>8361708 (pb)
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html
Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/event201-resources/event201-model-desc.pdf
disclaimer obviously added after the fact.
"Disclaimer: this model was used exclusively for the exercise in October 2019 and does not relate to and cannot be applied to the current 2019-nCoV outbreaks because the epidemiologic inputs in this model differ from what is observed in 2019-nCoV."