Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550308
excerpt:
"To date, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, has established significant community spread in cities and regions along a narrow east west distribution roughly along the 30-50 N’ corridor at consistently similar weather patterns consisting of average temperatures of 5-11C, combined with low specific (3-6 g/kg) and absolute humidity (4-7 g/m3)."
"Human coronaviruses (HCoV-229E, HCoV-HKU1, HCoV-NL63, and HCoV-OC43), which usually cause common cold symptoms, have been shown to display strong winter seasonality between December and April, and are undetectable in summer months in temperate regions.
"…Although it would be even more difficult to make a long-term prediction at this stage, it is tempting to expect COVID-19 to diminish considerably in affected areas (above the 30 N’) in the coming months and into the summer."