Ferguson reverses his original doomsday scenario, now that he has contracted muh corona himself.
J-IDEA’s Neil Ferguson tells MPs lockdown can help NHS manage coronavirus
26 March 2020
Imperial’s Neil Ferguson, Director of J-IDEA, has told MPs that the current UK lockdown could keep the coronavirus outbreak at manageable levels.
Professor Ferguson was speaking to the Science and Technology Committee about the latest COVID-19 outbreak predictions.
Speaking via video link, Professor Ferguson explained that while there was some uncertainty, if current measures work as expected, then intensive care demand would ‘peak in approximately two to three weeks and then decline thereafter’.
He told the committee current predictions were that the NHS would be able to cope if strict measures continued to be followed.
Professor Ferguson, who is also Director of MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, added: “There will be some areas that are extremely stressed but we are reasonably confident – which is all we can be at the current time – that at the national level we will be within capacity.”
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196477/j-ideas-neil-ferguson-tells-mps-lockdown/