The COVID19 Model Projections were substantially revised today (see: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections)
The attached slide illustrates the huge revision of #COVID19 Model Projections between Apr. 5th and Apr. 6th.
Note the drop of ~120,000 total hospital beds at the projected peak-resource day on Apr. 15, 2020 between the two versions. This indicates a total lack of model skill.
But they still SIGNIFICANTLY overestimate reported tracking data (https://covidtracking.com/data):
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Total hospital beds: 4.2 times
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ICU beds: 3.5 times
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Ventilators: 26.8 times
Still junk!
https://twitter.com/NikolovScience/status/1247071496909934592
https://twitter.com/AntiCorruptIre/status/1247169118869925891