>>8797860 (pb)
Just finished watching this, pretty good video for starting the conversation about these scumbags. We need more of these documentaries to start circulating.
Something isn't adding up here anons regarding transmission rates and therefore death rates.
Bear with me here, let's assume that 40% of cases are asymptomatic (reality findings are between 5% and 80%). Basically all countries I know of are only testing symptomatic patients (80%). Lets pretend that all of those symptomatic get tested and quarantined, that still leaves 20% of the population with the potential to grow logarithmic-ally. Currently there are 120,000 (potential) asymptomatic cases. The seasonal flu has 50% asymptomatic rate and MERS-Cov had an up to 30% asym rate. I would argue that due to this, the actual death rate should be deaths/((deaths+recovered) + (~40% total cases))
This would put the current US death rate at between ~4% and ~8% (assuming valid statistics of 40% to 80% asym). 26000/(26000+38000+248000) ~ 26000/(26000+38000+496000)
Countries like Australia have a current death rate of ~1% to ~0.5% (pretty much the flu).
63/(63+3598+2476) ~ 63/(63+3598+4952)
Sources:
https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19-what-proportion-are-asymptomatic/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7102602/
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/cbn/2005/cbnreport_103105.html
This is convenient because it means that only the most sever cases are confirmed and therefore you get an artificially inflated death rate, severe case rate. If we assume that 3-5% of cases are severe, that means that the US in reality has 12,000,000 infected? How is even logarithmic growth from Jan 20 (first case) on-wards possible to reach this number?
Maybe I'm just concernfagging tho.