Anonymous ID: e3e499 May 19, 2020, 9:27 a.m. No.9238527   🗄️.is 🔗kun   >>8652

Q, assume you are warp speed ahead of this… but does the following narrative help?

 

A) X many people take HCQ per year

B) Y many people die from taking HCQ per year

C) Deathrate of HCQ is multiple factors less than Z

 

Example…

A) India manufactures 70 percent of worlds supply of hydroxychloroquine (1).

B) India capacity is 40 tonnes per month, or 200,000,000 tablets at 200mg (1).

C) For Malaria Prophylaxis, 400 mg once a week starting 1-2 weeks prior, and continue entire time in situ, then 4 weeks after (2).

D) Assuming a trip to Malaria ridden location averages 2 to 4 weeks, one could assume 9 weeks of 400 mg, or 18 of the 200mg dosages.

E) if used after catching Malaria, roughly 2000 mg dosage over a 48 hour period is recommended, or 10 of the 200 mg dosages (2).

F) According to the World Heathen Organization, around a million people die from the disease each year, out of somewhere between 300 to 500 million cases. (3) (4)

G) From A & B, one can deduce world supply before HCQ was ~280 million 200mg tablets per month

H) From D, E & G, one could assume roughly 28 million individuals take HCQ for Malaria, or Malaria Prophylaxis per month, or ~336 million individuals take HCQ per year, each averaging 10 doses (number may be slightly smaller if same individual gets it twice, or was using it as a constant prophylaxis, for simplicity this is assumed to be marginal).

I) Unfortunately, I don't have the death rate for HCQ (maybe someone can help me find it). However, From F, it is known that roughly 1 million individuals die due to Malaria, therefore, it can be assumed that significantly less people die to HCQ than Malaria, otherwise, the risk would outweigh the benefit, and 336 million individuals would not take it every year. Assuming a staggering 200,000 individuals die due to HCQ, the death rate would be 0.05%. Assuming a more realistic 20,000 individuals die due to HCQ, the death rate would be 0.005%.

 

(1) https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-biggest-producer-of-game-changer-hydroxychloroquine-drug-has-enough-capacity/article31281809.ece

(2) https://www.drugs.com/dosage/hydroxychloroquine.html

(3) http://www.malaria.com/questions/malaria-deaths-year

(4) https://www.who.int/gho/malaria/epidemic/deaths/en/