FOR ANYONE DOING EARLY VOTING ANALYSIS

By statute in my state the county chairs can request weekly updates of absentee and early voting logs. These come in a spreadsheet. In part, the info lists party, voter name etc., date requested absentee ballot, if the requested was accepted or rejected or was a duplicate request, date absentee ballot mailed out, date absentee ballot returned. It also lists what date a voter voted in person early, or if they tried to vote twice. (It does not list who vote for who - ballots are secret.)

Here's one of a number of trends I've spotted so far.

For the most part, each day requests for absentee ballots come in, the clerk processes them the same day. But a few applications seem to be "misplaced" (i.e. not processed, no absentee ballot mailed). Later, some but not all of the "misplaced" applications are processed and absentee ballots mailed. The "misplaced" pile of applications trended larger, then smaller, then larger. The dates of the absentee ballots mailed out of the "misplaced" application pile was random. The dates of those applications still "misplaced" was random. No pattern in the party registration discernible.

The pattern that stuck out to me was "random" - leads me to speculate intentionally random.

The turnaround time from the time the absentee ballot was mailed, until the time the absentee ballot was returned by the voter started out at 6 days in the 1st/2nd week, and increased to avg 8 days (3rd week of early voting).

Implications : some ballots won't be returned by the deadline on election day and will not be counted. Open door for substitute ballots to be run thru the tabulator on the last day using those voter names.

Another thought occurred to me on why applications would be randomly held back. Speculation warning!! This is a theory, and I don't have the ability to investigate to prove. But any law enforcement reading this might want to take a look at this angle.

Vote tabulating machines produce a register tape (accessed by those with supervisor access code). In my small county, elections can be decided by less than 20 votes. If a tape is run, the tally to-date for each candidate is printed. If say 30 absentee ballot applications in the "misplaced" pile (no absentee ballot sent), but the favored candidate (in the primary in a contested race) is up by 50, then mailing out absentee ballots to say 25 of those that were held back likely won't change the ultimate outcome.

This method can game the system without raising too much of a red flag, and a plausible excuse is ready. "Oh, I was so busy, and found the applications a week later under a stack of papers…"

If investigators can check how often tally register tapes are requested after hours (if there is an audit trail of this…) there might be a clue in there to compare against how many applications were held back, versus how many and when misplaced applications finally were processed (absentee ballot mailed).

I'm watching to see if the remaining "misplaced" absentee ballot applications get processed at a time when the odds are that the returned ballots won't arrive in time.

Absentee ballots in my state are not usually processed and tabulated until election day. The Wuhan Flu has opened up the opportunity to start tabulating early in order to process the large number of absentee ballots. Again, think in terms of slow turn around time, late absentee ballots, and misplaced applications.

I think the county chairs of GOP across the county need the assistance of anon/autists to analyze the trends across the country and refer to DOJ if suspicious trends like this and others materialize.