Could Trump Lose Arkansas? Poll Shows Dead Heat, But Experts Are Skeptical.

Nicholas Reimann Jun 14, 2020,04:56pm EDT

A poll released Sunday showed President Donald Trump holding just a two percentage point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Arkansas—a state Trump won by nearly 27 points in 2016—as recent polls have Trump in close races in states he had expected to win comfortably, as he deals with falling approval ratings for his handling of the coronavirus and national unrest following the death of George Floyd.

The poll, released by Talk Business and Politics-Hendrix College, had 47% of Arkansas voters saying they would cast a ballot for Trump if the election were held now, with 45% backing former Vice President Joe Biden.

This is the first major poll that’s been conducted in Arkansas regarding the 2020 presidential election.

Experts were quick to point out Sunday that the poll, which was conducted Tuesday-Wednesday via a text message survey, can’t be taken on its own as a sign that Arkansas will be in play come November.

But it could be a sign of trouble for Trump’s campaign, since this isn’t the only poll that’s showed him struggling in solidly Republican states; the most recent polls out of Tennessee and Missouri both had Trump’s lead over Biden in the single digits.

The poll was also bad news for Republican Sen. Tom Cotton, who’s been in hot water recently after The New York Times published an op-ed of his that called for sending in the U.S. military to deal with unrest following Floyd’s death.

51% of those polled said they disapprove of the job Cotton is doing, while only 39% said they approved; Cotton does not currently face any Democratic challengers in his re-election campaign.

Arkansas has trended more Republican in every presidential election since the state’s former Gov. Bill Clinton won it as a Democrat in 1996. It has been one of the most solidly Republican states over the last few election cycles.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicholasreimann/2020/06/14/could-trump-lose-arkansas-poll-shows-dead-heat-but-experts-are-skeptical/#26aba8249259

https://www.bitchute.com/video/kuH7ndyWBfGy/

#CHOP NOT CHAZ -

Please remember if you’re heading down to Seattle to join in an actual march or protest, the CHOP is not a festival, this is not a tourist attraction, it is an occupied space for a reason. We aren’t here to have fun, we are here to support Black voices.

https://twitter.com/shanna_br/status/1272211457782902786/photo/1

>>9614117

I watched the entire video this morning. Welp, I have to say that in hindsight, if I were the officer, I probably would have let Brooks walk home when he offered to several times. Brooks was trying his best to be cooperative, despite the fact that he was tipsy, fairly "buzzed" but he wasn't totally smashed. I didn't think he was not being unreasonable up until the handcuffs were brought out. From there, I don't know what really happened.

I also felt the gravity of the officer as he waited to be taken back to headquarters. The isolation. The wondering if Brooks was alive or not. I felt his mind trying to make sense of what just happened. He was remarkably calm, I think.

IDK. It was troubling to watch on many levels.

>>9614170

It seems to have fallen off (or maybe he took it off) during the scuffle. He does put it back on after.

>>9614198

Good question. Officer gives him the breathalyzer (I couldn't see what it registered). The handcuffs come out and I don't remember hearing the words, "you are under arrest" but the cuffs don't make it on. Brooks' arms are placed behind his back by the officer in an attempt to cuff them.

>>9614224

I think the witnesses started speaking after the shooting. I'd have to watch again though to be sure.

>>9614233

Yes, I think that is right, I don't remember exactly. Did you see what he blew? Do you think he should have been arrested in the first place? He offered to walk home, he didn't live far away. He didn't seem to drive too far (from the window to a parking spot?) but the officer had his keys.

>>9614272

If the George Floyd thing wasn't so recent I'd say it would seem strange. But the bystanders said they were watching the officers "interview" Brooks for 20 minutes (which is about right according to the body cam) and there was no escalation (again, true).

So I think the bystander speaking loudly was pretty angry at what they just witnessed and was aware enough (i.e., a present person in a crisis and not a hysterical person who can't cope) that they saw the entire picture: This cop was in the wrong for killing this man in this instance.

Just my initial thoughts.

>>9614305

Was he driving when the police stopped him? Or did he fall asleep in line at the drive-through window and then when police woke him up, he drove over to a parking spot in the Wendy's parking lot?

He might have driven to the Wendy's, I'll grant you that. But it was a long time in-between and nothing had happened. He was trying his best to cooperate and he was pretty buzzed. But it isn't quite the same as if he had been pulled over on the road driving, is it?

>>9614364

That Italian revenge is legendary!

>>9614365

I hear you. I assume you watched the entire body cam video released today (it's nearly 2 hours). I did and I'm saying that I don't think he should have been arrested. I don't care what color his skin is or anything else. Have you ever driven home after a few drinks when you shouldn't have? I think the sobriety interview revealed that he wasn't "smashed" and he wasn't being disrespectful. He didn't have any attitude. Was he "known" to these officers? Was he wanted for something else? I don't know. I would not have let him drive, but I probably would not have arrested him under the circumstances. Sometimes people need a break. I might have given him a very severe warning, or even a citation. He seemed to have quite a bit of money in his pocket. I just feel sad about it for everyone, especially for the officer whose life is also ruined.

>>9614406

One was death by suicide. I didn't hear about the other one. Troubling, though.

>>9614312

I'm not arguing with you. I did watch the entire video. I have to tell you how I viewed it, that's all. I'm not denying that he had been drinking and shouldn't have been driving. I think sometimes police do give people a break, more than sometimes probably. I've been given a break, have you?

>>9614518

I agree and the mantra should be "Don't die, comply" because making any aggressive move toward a police officer is wrong. Period. And this fellow did resist arrest and paid the price. That doesn't make it any less unfortunate or noteworthy. We can see what happened and talk about it, can't we?